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In a particular country, the hourly rate of pay for adults who work is normally distributed with a mean of $25 and a standard deviation of $5 - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Advanced - Question 28 - 2020 - Paper 1

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Question 28

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In a particular country, the hourly rate of pay for adults who work is normally distributed with a mean of $25 and a standard deviation of $5. (a) Two adults who bo... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:In a particular country, the hourly rate of pay for adults who work is normally distributed with a mean of $25 and a standard deviation of $5 - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Advanced - Question 28 - 2020 - Paper 1

Step 1

Find the probability that at least one earns between $15 and $30 per hour.

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Answer

To find the probability that at least one of the two adults earns between 15and15 and 30, we start by determining the probabilities for individuals. The given mean is 25,andthestandarddeviationis25, and the standard deviation is 5.

  1. Calculate the Z-scores:

    • For 15:Z=15255=215: Z = \frac{15 - 25}{5} = -2.
    • For 30:Z=30255=130: Z = \frac{30 - 25}{5} = 1.
  2. Find cumulative probabilities:

    • From standard normal distribution tables, we have:
      • P(Z<2)0.0228P(Z < -2) \approx 0.0228.
      • P(Z<1)0.8413P(Z < 1) \approx 0.8413.
  3. Find the probability of earning between 15and15 and 30:

    • P(15<X<30)=P(Z<1)P(Z<2)=0.84130.0228=0.8185P(15 < X < 30) = P(Z < 1) - P(Z < -2) = 0.8413 - 0.0228 = 0.8185.
  4. Find probability of neither earning between 15and15 and 30:

    • P(neitherearnsbetweenP(neither earns between 15 and 30)=(10.8185)2=(0.1815)2=0.032930) = (1 - 0.8185)^2 = (0.1815)^2 = 0.0329.
  5. Use complement rule:

    • P(atleastoneearnsbetweenP(at least one earns between 15 and 30)=1P(neitherearnsbetween30) = 1 - P(neither earns between 15 and 30)=10.03290.967130) = 1 - 0.0329 \approx 0.9671.

Step 2

Find the probability that the chosen adult works and earns more than $25 per hour.

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Answer

Given that the number of adults who work is equal to three times the number that do not work, we have:

  • Let the number of adults who do not work be xx.
  • Then, the number of adults who work is 3x3x.
  • Total number of adults = 4x4x.

The probability that a randomly chosen adult works is: P(chosen adult works)=3x4x=34P(\text{chosen adult works}) = \frac{3x}{4x} = \frac{3}{4}.

Next, we need to find the probability that an adult earns more than $25 per hour:

  • Since earnings are normally distributed with a mean of 25,theprobabilitythatanadultearnsmorethan25, the probability that an adult earns more than 25 is: P(X>25)=1P(X25)=0.5P(X > 25) = 1 - P(X \leq 25) = 0.5 (since P(X25)=0.5P(X \leq 25) = 0.5 for a normal distribution).

Finally, the combined probability that the chosen adult works and earns more than $25 per hour is: P(adult works and earns more than 25)=P(chosen adult works)×P(X>25)=34×0.5=38.P(\text{adult works and earns more than } 25) = P(\text{chosen adult works}) \times P(X > 25) = \frac{3}{4} \times 0.5 = \frac{3}{8}.

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