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The random variable X represents the number of successes in 10 independent Bernoulli trials - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Extension 1 - Question 6 - 2021 - Paper 1

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The random variable X represents the number of successes in 10 independent Bernoulli trials. The probability of success is p = 0.9 in each trial. Let r = P(X ≥ 1). ... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The random variable X represents the number of successes in 10 independent Bernoulli trials - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Extension 1 - Question 6 - 2021 - Paper 1

Step 1

Let r = P(X ≥ 1)

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Answer

To find the value of r, we need to calculate the probability of getting at least one success in 10 trials.

First, we can calculate the probability of getting zero successes:

P(X=0)=(1p)n=(10.9)10=0.110=1010P(X = 0) = (1 - p)^{n} = (1 - 0.9)^{10} = 0.1^{10} = 10^{-10}

Consequently, the probability of getting at least one success is:

P(X1)=1P(X=0)=11010P(X ≥ 1) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - 10^{-10}

Since 101010^{-10} is a very small number, we can conclude that P(X1)P(X ≥ 1) is virtually equal to 1, implying that r is very close to 1.

Step 2

Which of the following describes the value of r?

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Answer

Given our calculation, we find that:

r=P(X1)1r = P(X ≥ 1) ≈ 1

This means that r is greater than 0.9. Therefore, the correct answer is:

A. r > 0.9.

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