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The random variable X represents the number of successes in 10 independent Bernoulli trials - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Extension 1 - Question 6 - 2021 - Paper 1

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The random variable X represents the number of successes in 10 independent Bernoulli trials. The probability of success is p = 0.9 in each trial. Let r = P(X ≥ 1). ... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The random variable X represents the number of successes in 10 independent Bernoulli trials - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Extension 1 - Question 6 - 2021 - Paper 1

Step 1

Calculate P(X ≥ 1)

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Answer

To find r, we calculate the probability that at least one success occurs in 10 trials. This can be calculated as:

r=P(X1)=1P(X=0)r = P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)

The probability of getting zero successes (X = 0) in 10 trials where p = 0.9 can be calculated using the formula for the binomial distribution:

P(X=0)=(1p)n=(10.9)10=0.110=1010P(X = 0) = (1 - p)^{n} = (1 - 0.9)^{10} = 0.1^{10} = 10^{-10}

Thus, we find:

r=110100.9999999999r = 1 - 10^{-10} \approx 0.9999999999

This shows that r is very close to 1.

Step 2

Determine the value of r

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Answer

Given that r is approximately 0.9999999999, it is evident that:

  • r > 0.9
  • Since r is very close to 1, we can confidently say:

The correct choice that describes the value of r is A: r > 0.9.

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