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The random variable X represents the number of successes in 10 independent Bernoulli trials - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Extension 1 - Question 8 - 2021 - Paper 1

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The random variable X represents the number of successes in 10 independent Bernoulli trials. The probability of success is $p = 0.9$ in each trial. Let $r = P(X \ge... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The random variable X represents the number of successes in 10 independent Bernoulli trials - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Extension 1 - Question 8 - 2021 - Paper 1

Step 1

Which of the following describes the value of r?

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Answer

To determine the value of r=P(X1)r = P(X \geq 1), we start by calculating the probability of getting no successes at all (i.e., X=0X = 0) in 10 trials. The probability of failure in each trial is 1p=0.11 - p = 0.1. Therefore, the probability of getting 0 successes is:

P(X=0)=(0.1)10=0.0000000001P(X = 0) = (0.1)^{10} = 0.0000000001

Now, the probability of getting at least one success is:

P(X1)=1P(X=0)=1(0.1)101P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - (0.1)^{10} \approx 1

Given this calculation, we conclude that the best description of rr is in the range r>0.9r > 0.9 but very close to 1, which corresponds to option C: 0.1<r<0.90.1 < r < 0.9.

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