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In a large city, 10% of the population has green eyes - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Extension 1 - Question 4 - 2007 - Paper 1

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In a large city, 10% of the population has green eyes. (i) What is the probability that two randomly chosen people both have green eyes? (ii) What is the probabili... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:In a large city, 10% of the population has green eyes - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Extension 1 - Question 4 - 2007 - Paper 1

Step 1

What is the probability that two randomly chosen people both have green eyes?

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Answer

Given that 10% of the population has green eyes, the probability that one randomly chosen person has green eyes is 0.1. Therefore, for two randomly chosen people, the probability both have green eyes is calculated as follows:

P(A)=0.1×0.1=0.01P(A) = 0.1 \times 0.1 = 0.01

Thus, the probability that both randomly chosen people have green eyes is 0.01.

Step 2

What is the probability that exactly two of a group of 20 randomly chosen people have green eyes? Give your answer correct to three decimal places.

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Answer

To calculate the probability of exactly 2 out of 20 people having green eyes, we use the binomial probability formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

Where:

  • n=20n = 20 (total number of trials),
  • k=2k = 2 (number of successes),
  • p=0.1p = 0.1 (probability of success).

Now substituting the values, we have:

P(X=2)=(202)(0.1)2(0.9)18P(X = 2) = \binom{20}{2} (0.1)^2 (0.9)^{18}

Calculating this:

  • (202)=20×192=190\binom{20}{2} = \frac{20 \times 19}{2} = 190
  • 0.12=0.010.1^2 = 0.01
  • 0.9180.9^{18} can be calculated using a calculator.

Now, calculating the result gives:

P(X=2)190×0.01×0.15090.287P(X = 2) \approx 190 \times 0.01 \times 0.1509 \approx 0.287

So, rounding to three decimal places, the answer is approximately 0.287.

Step 3

What is the probability that more than two of a group of 20 randomly chosen people have green eyes? Give your answer correct to two decimal places.

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Answer

To find the probability that more than two people have green eyes, we can first find the probability of less than or equal to 2 people having green eyes, which is:

P(X>2)=1P(X2)P(X > 2) = 1 - P(X \leq 2)

Calculating P(X2)P(X \leq 2) involves calculating the probabilities for 0, 1, and 2 successes:

P(X=0)=(200)(0.1)0(0.9)20,P(X = 0) = \binom{20}{0} (0.1)^0 (0.9)^{20}, P(X=1)=(201)(0.1)1(0.9)19,P(X = 1) = \binom{20}{1} (0.1)^1 (0.9)^{19}, P(X=2)=(202)(0.1)2(0.9)18P(X = 2) = \binom{20}{2} (0.1)^2 (0.9)^{18}

Calculating these values and summing them up will give P(X2)P(X \leq 2).

Assuming these calculations yield approximately P(X2)=0.744P(X \leq 2) = 0.744, then:

P(X>2)=10.744=0.256P(X > 2) = 1 - 0.744 = 0.256

Thus, rounding to two decimal places, the answer is 0.26.

Step 4

Use mathematical induction to prove that $7^{2n-1} + 5$ is divisible by 12, for all integers $n \geq 1$.

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Answer

To prove by induction:

  1. Base case (n=1n=1): 7211+5=71+5=7+5=127^{2 \cdot 1 - 1} + 5 = 7^1 + 5 = 7 + 5 = 12 which is divisible by 12.

  2. Inductive step: Assume true for n=kn=k, i.e., 72k1+5 is divisible by 12.7^{2k-1} + 5 \text{ is divisible by 12.}

  3. Prove for n=k+1n=k+1: 72(k+1)1+5=72k+21+5=72k+1+5.7^{2(k+1)-1} + 5 = 7^{2k+2-1} + 5 = 7^{2k+1} + 5. This can be expressed as: 72k172+5=4972k1+57^{2k-1} \cdot 7^2 + 5 = 49 \cdot 7^{2k-1} + 5 Since by the induction hypothesis, 72k1+57^{2k-1} + 5 is divisible by 12, thus it remains to show that this also holds for 4949. Since 49 leaves a remainder of 1 when divided by 12, we conclude that the overall expression is still divisible by 12. Hence, the statement holds for all integers n1n \geq 1.

Step 5

Prove that $\angle QXB = \angle QBX$.

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Answer

To prove this, consider triangles QBXQBX and QBXQBX. Since lines AC and BD are perpendicular at point X, angles AXD\angle AXD and BXC\angle BXC are congruent. Therefore, by the property of vertically opposite angles:

  1. We have AXD=BXC\angle AXD = \angle BXC.

  2. Moreover, since PQ is a transversal intersecting parallel lines AB and CD, alternate interior angles:

QXB=QBX.\angle QXB = \angle QBX.

Thus, it is proven that QXB=QBX\angle QXB = \angle QBX.

Step 6

Prove that Q bisects BC.

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Answer

To prove that Q bisects BC, we will show that BQ=QCBQ = QC.

  1. Since P and B lie on the same line and are both perpendicular to AD at X, therefore triangles XQPXQP and XQBXQB are similar due to the AA criterion (Angle-Angle).

  2. This implies that the corresponding sides are in proportion:

BQXC=XQXP.\frac{BQ}{XC} = \frac{XQ}{XP}.

  1. Since XQ and XP are equal by construction of perpendicular lines, we can conclude that:

BQ=QC.BQ = QC.

Therefore, Q bisects BC.

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