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A factory produces jars of jam and jars of marmalade - AQA - A-Level Maths Mechanics - Question 18 - 2021 - Paper 3

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A factory produces jars of jam and jars of marmalade. 18 (a) The weight, $X$ grams, of jam in a jar can be modelled as a normal variable with mean 372 and a standar... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A factory produces jars of jam and jars of marmalade - AQA - A-Level Maths Mechanics - Question 18 - 2021 - Paper 3

Step 1

Find the probability that the weight of jam in a jar is equal to 372 grams.

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Answer

In a normal distribution, the probability of a continuous random variable taking on an exact value is 0. Therefore, the probability that the weight of jam in a jar is equal to 372 grams is:

P(X=372)=0P(X = 372) = 0

Step 2

Find the probability that the weight of jam in a jar is greater than 368 grams.

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Answer

To find the probability that the weight of jam in a jar is greater than 368 grams, we first need to calculate the Z-score for 368 grams. The formula for Z-score is:

Z = rac{X - ext{mean}}{ ext{standard deviation}}

Substituting the values:

= -1.142857$$ We then look up this Z-score in the standard normal distribution table or use a calculator to find: $$P(X > 368) = 1 - P(Z < -1.142857) \ = 1 - 0.1269 \ herefore P(X > 368) = 0.8731$$

Step 3

Given that $P(Y < 346) = 0.975$, show that $346 - \mu = 1.96\sigma$.

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Answer

Using the inverse normal distribution, for the area of 0.975, we find the corresponding Z-value is approximately 1.96. Therefore,

P(Z<1.96)=0.975P(Z < 1.96) = 0.975

Given the transformation from normal distribution, we have:

346μ=1.96σ346 - \mu = 1.96\sigma

Thus, the equation holds true if heta heta represents mu\\mu.

Step 4

Given further that $P(Y < 336) = 0.14$, find $\mu$ and $\sigma$.

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Answer

From the normal distribution table, we find that the Z-value corresponding to P(Y<336)=0.14P(Y < 336) = 0.14 is approximately -1.08. This gives us:

336μ=1.08σ336 - \mu = -1.08\sigma

Now we have two equations: 1) 346μ=1.96σ346 - \mu = 1.96\sigma 2) 336μ=1.08σ336 - \mu = -1.08\sigma

Rearranging both equations allows us to isolate mu\\mu and sigma\\sigma. Solving this system of equations, we find:

From equation 1: \ μ=3461.96σ\mu = 346 - 1.96\sigma Substituting into equation 2 yields: 336(3461.96σ)=1.08σ336 - (346 - 1.96\sigma) = -1.08\sigma This simplifies to: 10=1.08σ+1.96σ-10 = -1.08\sigma + 1.96\sigma

\\sigma = -\frac{10}{0.88} = 11.36$$ Substituting back to find $\\mu$ gives: $$\mu = 346 - 1.96(11.36) = 346 - 22.3086 = 323.6914$$

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