A factory produces jars of jam and jars of marmalade - AQA - A-Level Maths Mechanics - Question 18 - 2021 - Paper 3
Question 18
A factory produces jars of jam and jars of marmalade.
18 (a) The weight, $X$ grams, of jam in a jar can be modelled as a normal variable with mean 372 and a standar... show full transcript
Worked Solution & Example Answer:A factory produces jars of jam and jars of marmalade - AQA - A-Level Maths Mechanics - Question 18 - 2021 - Paper 3
Step 1
Find the probability that the weight of jam in a jar is equal to 372 grams.
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Answer
In a normal distribution, the probability of a continuous random variable taking on an exact value is 0. Therefore, the probability that the weight of jam in a jar is equal to 372 grams is:
P(X=372)=0
Step 2
Find the probability that the weight of jam in a jar is greater than 368 grams.
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Answer
To find the probability that the weight of jam in a jar is greater than 368 grams, we first need to calculate the Z-score for 368 grams. The formula for Z-score is:
Z = rac{X - ext{mean}}{ ext{standard deviation}}
Substituting the values:
= -1.142857$$
We then look up this Z-score in the standard normal distribution table or use a calculator to find:
$$P(X > 368) = 1 - P(Z < -1.142857) \
= 1 - 0.1269 \
herefore P(X > 368) = 0.8731$$
Step 3
Given that $P(Y < 346) = 0.975$, show that $346 - \mu = 1.96\sigma$.
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Answer
Using the inverse normal distribution,
for the area of 0.975, we find the corresponding Z-value is approximately 1.96. Therefore,
P(Z<1.96)=0.975
Given the transformation from normal distribution, we have:
346−μ=1.96σ
Thus, the equation holds true if heta represents mu.
Step 4
Given further that $P(Y < 336) = 0.14$, find $\mu$ and $\sigma$.
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Answer
From the normal distribution table,
we find that the Z-value corresponding to P(Y<336)=0.14 is approximately -1.08. This gives us:
336−μ=−1.08σ
Now we have two equations:
1)
346−μ=1.96σ
2)
336−μ=−1.08σ
Rearranging both equations allows us to isolate mu and sigma. Solving this system of equations, we find:
From equation 1: \
μ=346−1.96σ
Substituting into equation 2 yields:
336−(346−1.96σ)=−1.08σ
This simplifies to:
−10=−1.08σ+1.96σ