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A and B are two events such that P(A ∩ B) = 0.1 P(A' ∩ B') = 0.2 P(B) = 2P(A) (a) Find P(A) (b) Find P(B|A) - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 14 - 2021 - Paper 3

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Question 14

A-and-B-are-two-events-such-that--P(A-∩-B)-=-0.1-P(A'-∩-B')-=-0.2-P(B)-=-2P(A)--(a)-Find-P(A)--(b)-Find-P(B|A)-AQA-A-Level Maths Pure-Question 14-2021-Paper 3.png

A and B are two events such that P(A ∩ B) = 0.1 P(A' ∩ B') = 0.2 P(B) = 2P(A) (a) Find P(A) (b) Find P(B|A)

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A and B are two events such that P(A ∩ B) = 0.1 P(A' ∩ B') = 0.2 P(B) = 2P(A) (a) Find P(A) (b) Find P(B|A) - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 14 - 2021 - Paper 3

Step 1

Find P(A)

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Answer

To find P(A), we start with the provided information:

  1. We know that the total probability of all events sums up to 1:

    P(A)+P(A)=1P(A) + P(A') = 1

  2. From the information given:

    • P(A ∩ B) = 0.1
    • P(A' ∩ B') = 0.2

    Hence, we can find P(A ∩ B'):

    P(AB)=P(A)P(AB)P(A ∩ B') = P(A) - P(A ∩ B)

    Since P(A ∩ B) = 0.1, we have: P(AB)=P(A)0.1P(A ∩ B') = P(A) - 0.1

  3. To find P(A'), we use the equation:

    P(A)=1P(A)P(A') = 1 - P(A)

  4. We can use the law of total probability:

    P(B)=P(AB)+P(AB)P(B) = P(A ∩ B) + P(A' ∩ B)

    Given that P(B) = 2P(A), we can substitute:

    2P(A)=P(AB)+P(AB)2P(A) = P(A ∩ B) + P(A' ∩ B)

    Using the previous results, this leads us to:

    2P(A)=0.1+P(AB)2P(A) = 0.1 + P(A' ∩ B)

  5. We also know:

    P(AB)=P(B)P(AB)P(A' ∩ B) = P(B) - P(A ∩ B)

    Thus we can substitute:

    P(AB)=2P(A)0.1P(A' ∩ B) = 2P(A) - 0.1

  6. Solving these equations enables us to isolate P(A):

    1. Substitute P(A' ∩ B) into the equation: 2P(A)=0.1+(2P(A)0.1)2P(A) = 0.1 + (2P(A) - 0.1)

    2. Upon simplifying, we can establish: P(A)+P(A)0.1=10.2P(A) + P(A') - 0.1 = 1 - 0.2

  7. Solving reveals:

    P(A)=0.3P(A) = 0.3

Step 2

Find P(B|A)

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Answer

To find the conditional probability P(B|A), we can use the formula:

P(BA)=P(AB)P(A)P(B|A) = \frac{P(A ∩ B)}{P(A)}

We know from the previous parts:

  • P(A ∩ B) = 0.1
  • P(A) = 0.3

Substituting these values into the equation gives us:

P(BA)=0.10.3=13P(B|A) = \frac{0.1}{0.3} = \frac{1}{3}

Therefore, P(B|A) = 0.333... or approximately 0.33.

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