A and B are two events such that
P(A ∩ B) = 0.1
P(A' ∩ B') = 0.2
P(B) = 2P(A)
(a) Find P(A)
(b) Find P(B|A) - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 14 - 2021 - Paper 3
Question 14
A and B are two events such that
P(A ∩ B) = 0.1
P(A' ∩ B') = 0.2
P(B) = 2P(A)
(a) Find P(A)
(b) Find P(B|A)
Worked Solution & Example Answer:A and B are two events such that
P(A ∩ B) = 0.1
P(A' ∩ B') = 0.2
P(B) = 2P(A)
(a) Find P(A)
(b) Find P(B|A) - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 14 - 2021 - Paper 3
Step 1
Find P(A)
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Answer
To find P(A), we start with the provided information:
We know that the total probability of all events sums up to 1:
P(A)+P(A′)=1
From the information given:
P(A ∩ B) = 0.1
P(A' ∩ B') = 0.2
Hence, we can find P(A ∩ B'):
P(A∩B′)=P(A)−P(A∩B)
Since P(A ∩ B) = 0.1, we have:
P(A∩B′)=P(A)−0.1
To find P(A'), we use the equation:
P(A′)=1−P(A)
We can use the law of total probability:
P(B)=P(A∩B)+P(A′∩B)
Given that P(B) = 2P(A), we can substitute:
2P(A)=P(A∩B)+P(A′∩B)
Using the previous results, this leads us to:
2P(A)=0.1+P(A′∩B)
We also know:
P(A′∩B)=P(B)−P(A∩B)
Thus we can substitute:
P(A′∩B)=2P(A)−0.1
Solving these equations enables us to isolate P(A):
Substitute P(A' ∩ B) into the equation:
2P(A)=0.1+(2P(A)−0.1)
Upon simplifying, we can establish:
P(A)+P(A′)−0.1=1−0.2
Solving reveals:
P(A)=0.3
Step 2
Find P(B|A)
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Answer
To find the conditional probability P(B|A), we can use the formula:
P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A∩B)
We know from the previous parts:
P(A ∩ B) = 0.1
P(A) = 0.3
Substituting these values into the equation gives us:
P(B∣A)=0.30.1=31
Therefore, P(B|A) = 0.333... or approximately 0.33.