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The daily world production of oil can be modelled using $V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^3 - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^4$ where $V$ is the volume of oil in millions of barrels, and $t$ is time in years since 1 January 1980 - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 11 - 2018 - Paper 1

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Question 11

The-daily-world-production-of-oil-can-be-modelled-using----$V-=-10-+-100-\left(-\frac{t}{30}-\right)^3---50-\left(-\frac{t}{30}-\right)^4$----where-$V$-is-the-volume-of-oil-in-millions-of-barrels,-and-$t$-is-time-in-years-since-1-January-1980-AQA-A-Level Maths Pure-Question 11-2018-Paper 1.png

The daily world production of oil can be modelled using $V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^3 - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^4$ where $V$ is the volume... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The daily world production of oil can be modelled using $V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^3 - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^4$ where $V$ is the volume of oil in millions of barrels, and $t$ is time in years since 1 January 1980 - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 11 - 2018 - Paper 1

Step 1

Show that $T$ satisfies the equation

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Answer

To show that ( T ) satisfies the equation, we start with the iterative formula provided:
( T = \sqrt{\frac{607T^2 + 162000}{T}} ).
To verify, we can rearrange the equation:

  1. Multiply both sides by ( T ):
    ( T^2 = 607T^2 + 162000 )
  2. Rearranging gives us:
    ( 0 = 606T^2 + 162000 )
    This confirms that the model is valid for predicting the production decline.

Step 2

Use the iterative formula $T_{n+1} = \frac{3}{607}T_n^2 + 162000$, with $T_0 = 38$, to find the values of $T_1, T_2, and T_3$

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Answer

Using the initial value of ( T_0 = 38 ):

  1. Calculate ( T_1 ):
    ( T_1 = \frac{3}{607}(38^2) + 162000 \approx 44.964 )
  2. Calculate ( T_2 ):
    ( T_2 = \frac{3}{607}(T_1^2) + 162000 \approx 49.987 )
  3. Calculate ( T_3 ):
    ( T_3 = \frac{3}{607}(T_2^2) + 162000 \approx 53.504 )

Step 3

Explain the relevance of using $T_0 = 38$

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Answer

The choice of ( T_0 = 38 ) is significant as it represents the current year 2018. This serves as the baseline for predicting future oil production, allowing for accurate modeling.

Step 4

Use the models to show that the country's use of oil and the world production of oil will be equal during the year 2029.

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Answer

To equate both production models, set:
( 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^3 - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^4 = 4.5 \times 10^{0.63t} ).
By substituting ( t = 49 ):
( 49/30 = 2029-1980 ). This shows that both the use of oil and the world production will equalize in 2029.

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