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A sample of 200 households was obtained from a small town - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 15 - 2019 - Paper 3

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A sample of 200 households was obtained from a small town. Each household was asked to complete a questionnaire about their purchases of takeaway food. A is the ev... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A sample of 200 households was obtained from a small town - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 15 - 2019 - Paper 3

Step 1

Find P(A), P(B), and P(A ∩ B)

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Answer

From the problem, we know:

  • Total households = 200
  • Households not purchasing Indian or Chinese takeaway = 122 Thus, households purchasing either Indian or Chinese takeaway = 200 - 122 = 78.

Using conditional probabilities:

  1. We have the formula: P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A | B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} => rearranging gives:

    P(AB)=P(AB)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A | B) \times P(B)

    Since P(BA)=0.25P(B | A) = 0.25, we can also derive P(B)P(B) as follows: Let P(A)=xP(A) = x and using the fact that: P(B)=0.25P(A)P(B) = 0.25 * P(A), substituting in the equation, we get:

    x+(0.25x)=78x + (0.25 * x) = 78

    Therefore, solving for xx gives P(A)=781.25=62.4P(A) = \frac{78}{1.25} = 62.4.

Step 2

Find P(A ∩ B)

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Answer

Now, substituting back the values:

  • From previous findings, we can calculate P(B)=0.2562.4P(B) = 0.25 * 62.4 = 15.6.

  • Then use it in the context for P(AB)P(A | B):

    Therefore, P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)=0.115.6=1.56.P(A \cap B) = P(A | B) * P(B) = 0.1 * 15.6 = 1.56.

Thus, the probability that a randomly selected household regularly purchases both Indian and Chinese takeaway food is:

P(AB)=1.56200=0.0078 or 0.78%.P(A \cap B) = \frac{1.56}{200} = 0.0078 \text{ or } 0.78\%.

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