A sample of 200 households was obtained from a small town - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 15 - 2019 - Paper 3
Question 15
A sample of 200 households was obtained from a small town.
Each household was asked to complete a questionnaire about their purchases of takeaway food.
A is the ev... show full transcript
Worked Solution & Example Answer:A sample of 200 households was obtained from a small town - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 15 - 2019 - Paper 3
Step 1
Find P(A), P(B), and P(A ∩ B)
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Answer
From the problem, we know:
Total households = 200
Households not purchasing Indian or Chinese takeaway = 122
Thus, households purchasing either Indian or Chinese takeaway = 200 - 122 = 78.
Using conditional probabilities:
We have the formula: P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B) => rearranging gives:
P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)×P(B)
Since P(B∣A)=0.25, we can also derive P(B) as follows:
Let P(A)=x and using the fact that:
P(B)=0.25∗P(A), substituting in the equation, we get:
x+(0.25∗x)=78
Therefore, solving for x gives P(A)=1.2578=62.4.
Step 2
Find P(A ∩ B)
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Answer
Now, substituting back the values:
From previous findings, we can calculate P(B)=0.25∗62.4 = 15.6.
Then use it in the context for P(A∣B):
Therefore, P(A∩B)=P(A∣B)∗P(B)=0.1∗15.6=1.56.
Thus, the probability that a randomly selected household regularly purchases both Indian and Chinese takeaway food is: