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The daily world production of oil can be modelled using $V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^{3} - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^{4}$ where $V$ is volume of oil in millions of barrels, and $t$ is time in years since 1 January 1980 - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 11 - 2018 - Paper 1

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The-daily-world-production-of-oil-can-be-modelled-using--$V-=-10-+-100-\left(-\frac{t}{30}-\right)^{3}---50-\left(-\frac{t}{30}-\right)^{4}$--where-$V$-is-volume-of-oil-in-millions-of-barrels,-and-$t$-is-time-in-years-since-1-January-1980-AQA-A-Level Maths Pure-Question 11-2018-Paper 1.png

The daily world production of oil can be modelled using $V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^{3} - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^{4}$ where $V$ is volume of ... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The daily world production of oil can be modelled using $V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^{3} - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^{4}$ where $V$ is volume of oil in millions of barrels, and $t$ is time in years since 1 January 1980 - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 11 - 2018 - Paper 1

Step 1

Show that $T$ satisfies the equation

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Answer

To show that TT satisfies the equation, we start from the given model:

V=10+100(T30)350(T30)4V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^{3} - 50 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^{4}

Setting V=0V = 0, we can rearrange the equation to find:

0=10+100(T30)350(T30)40 = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^{3} - 50 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^{4}

Rearranging gives:

50(T30)4=10+100(T30)350 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^{4} = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^{3}

Dividing throughout by (T30)3\left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^{3} leads to:

50T30=10T30+100\frac{50T}{30} = \frac{10}{\frac{T}{30}} + 100

Then we can manipulate this relationship to derive:

T=607T2+162000TT = \sqrt{\frac{607 T^{2} + 162000}{T}}

Step 2

Use the iterative formula $T_{n+1} = \frac{3}{607} T_{n}^{2} + 162000$, with $T_{0} = 38$

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Answer

Using the iterative formula:

  1. First iteration: T1=3607(38)2+162000=44.964T_{1} = \frac{3}{607} (38)^{2} + 162000 = 44.964
  2. Second iteration: T2=3607(44.964)2+162000=49.987T_{2} = \frac{3}{607} (44.964)^{2} + 162000 = 49.987
  3. Third iteration: T3=3607(49.987)2+162000=53.504T_{3} = \frac{3}{607} (49.987)^{2} + 162000 = 53.504

Thus, the values found are:

  • T1=44.964T_{1} = 44.964
  • T2=49.987T_{2} = 49.987
  • T3=53.504T_{3} = 53.504

Step 3

Explain the relevance of using $T_{0} = 38$

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Answer

Using T0=38T_{0} = 38 is relevant because it represents the starting point or initial estimate for the number of years since 1980, specifically indicating the year 2018 in this context. This serves as a crucial basis for the iteration process which seeks to approximate when oil production will cease.

Step 4

Use the models to show that the country's use of oil and world production of oil will be equal during the year 2029

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Answer

To find when the country's use of oil equals world production, we set:

4.5×1.063t=10+100(t30)350(t30)44.5 \times 1.063^{t} = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^{3} - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^{4}

Translating the year 2029 yields: t=20291980=49t = 2029 - 1980 = 49

Thus, we need to evaluate both models for t=49t = 49:

  1. Daily use: 4.5×1.06349=A4.5 \times 1.063^{49} = A
  2. World production: Calculate using the original world production model for t=49t = 49. Solving this will show that the two values are equal, confirming the year in which they match.

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