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Using the data in Extracts E to H, Payback and NPV investment appraisal methods, evaluate Plan A and Plan B expansion plans and recommend which one might be better for Northfield Cycles - Edexcel - A-Level Business - Question 2 - 2022 - Paper 3

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Using the data in Extracts E to H, Payback and NPV investment appraisal methods, evaluate Plan A and Plan B expansion plans and recommend which one might be better f... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:Using the data in Extracts E to H, Payback and NPV investment appraisal methods, evaluate Plan A and Plan B expansion plans and recommend which one might be better for Northfield Cycles - Edexcel - A-Level Business - Question 2 - 2022 - Paper 3

Step 1

Evaluate Plan A using NPV and Payback methods

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Answer

To evaluate Plan A, we first calculate its Payback Period. The cash flows are:

  • Year 1: -£12,000
  • Year 2: £5,000
  • Year 3: £4,000
  • Year 4: £15,000
  • Year 5: £20,000
  • Year 6: £5,000
  • Year 7: £5,000

To find out when the initial investment of £40,000 is recovered:

  • After Year 1: -£12,000
  • After Year 2: -£7,000
  • After Year 3: -£3,000
  • After Year 4: £12,000 (recovered)

Thus, the Payback Period is approximately 4 years.

Next, we calculate the NPV which is given as £4,989 at a 10% discount rate.

Step 2

Evaluate Plan B using NPV and Payback methods

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Answer

Similarly, for Plan B, the cash flows are as follows:

  • Year 1: -£60,000
  • Year 2: £2,000
  • Year 3: £12,000
  • Year 4: £20,000
  • Year 5: £20,000
  • Year 6: £5,000
  • Year 7: £28,000

Calculating the Payback, we observe:

  • After Year 1: -£60,000
  • After Year 2: -£58,000
  • After Year 3: -£46,000
  • After Year 4: -£26,000
  • After Year 5: -£6,000
  • After Year 6: -£1,000
  • By Year 7, it suggest we recover the investment but it takes longer than 7 years.

NPV calculation needs to be similar but based on these cash flows, and it might give a negative value, considering higher costs of the plan.

Step 3

Recommendation based on analysis

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Answer

Considering both plans, Plan A has a feasible payback period of about 4 years and a positive NPV, making it a more viable option financially when compared to Plan B, which takes significantly longer to break even and the risks and costs appear to outweigh the benefits. Therefore, I recommend that Northfield Cycles proceed with Plan A for expansion.

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