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Question 2
Indonesia Figure 4: World coal prices, 2006–2016, US dollars per tonne Figure 5: Indonesia’s real GDP, annual percentage change Using the data in Figure 4 and oth... show full transcript
Step 1
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Since 2013, Indonesia has experienced significant changes in its economic landscape, especially regarding coal prices. According to Figure 4, world coal prices peaked around 2011 and have since declined sharply. This decline can significantly affect Indonesia's export revenues, as coal is a substantial part of its export economy, impacting overall national income. Additionally, the value of the rupiah has depreciated, further complicating trade dynamics. Consequently, the economy has had to adjust to lower revenue streams and may shift focus onto other sectors.
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The government's increased investment in infrastructure can lead to improved farming conditions, enhancing productivity for rice farmers. This investment could lower costs associated with transportation and logistics, allowing farmers to bring their goods to market more efficiently. A cost and revenue diagram would illustrate this by showing a potential decrease in average costs (AC) due to improved efficiency while potentially increasing revenue due to higher yields and market access. In the long run, the increased investment should lead to higher profitability for rice farmers.
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Aid can provide multiple benefits to Indonesia, especially in terms of economic development and stabilization. Financial support from international organizations can help fund infrastructure projects, similar to those mentioned in Extract E, leading to job creation and enhanced domestic production capabilities. Moreover, aid can be crucial in times of economic downturns, offering a lifeline that helps reduce the impact of commodity price fluctuations. Furthermore, it can facilitate technology transfer and capacity building, empowering local industries. Overall, aid can serve as a catalyst for sustainable economic growth.
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The volatility of commodity prices has significant microeconomic effects on individual businesses and producers. For Indonesian coal exporters, fluctuating prices can lead to uncertainty in revenue forecasts, which complicates investment and operational decisions. On a macroeconomic level, fluctuations in commodity prices can affect national GDP, trade balances, and currency stability. For instance, a drop in coal prices could reduce export revenues, negatively impacting overall economic growth. Conversely, high commodity prices can boost economic activity but may create inflationary pressures. Thus, while volatility might offer opportunities for some, it presents challenges for sustained economic stability.
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