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The adult population of a town is 25 000 at the end of Year 1 - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 1 - 2011 - Paper 3

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The adult population of a town is 25 000 at the end of Year 1. A model predicts that the adult population of the town will increase by 3% each year, forming a geome... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The adult population of a town is 25 000 at the end of Year 1 - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 1 - 2011 - Paper 3

Step 1

Show that the predicted adult population at the end of Year 2 is 25 750.

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Answer

To find the adult population at the end of Year 2, we use the formula for a geometric sequence:

Pn=P1rn1P_n = P_1 \cdot r^{n-1}

where:

  • P1=25000P_1 = 25000 (population at the end of Year 1)
  • r=1.03r = 1.03 (common ratio)
  • n=2n = 2 (Year 2)

Calculating:

P2=250001.0321=250001.03=25750P_2 = 25000 \cdot 1.03^{2-1} = 25000 \cdot 1.03 = 25750

Thus, the predicted adult population at the end of Year 2 is 25,750.

Step 2

Write down the common ratio of the geometric sequence.

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Answer

The common ratio of the geometric sequence is:

r=1.03r = 1.03

Step 3

Show that (N - 1) log 1.03 > log 1.6.

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Answer

We start with the population growth model:

Pn=P1rn1P_n = P_1 \cdot r^{n-1}

To find when it exceeds 40000:

250001.03N1>4000025000 \cdot 1.03^{N-1} > 40000

Dividing both sides by 25000 gives:

1.03N1>4000025000=1.61.03^{N-1} > \frac{40000}{25000} = 1.6

Taking the logarithm of both sides:

(N1)log1.03>log1.6(N - 1) \log 1.03 > \log 1.6

Hence we have shown that (N1)log1.03>log1.6(N - 1) \log 1.03 > \log 1.6.

Step 4

Find the value of N.

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Answer

From the previously derived inequality:

(N1)log1.03>log1.6(N - 1) \log 1.03 > \log 1.6

We can isolate N:

N1>log1.6log1.03N - 1 > \frac{\log 1.6}{\log 1.03}

Calculating:

N>1+log1.6log1.03N > 1 + \frac{\log 1.6}{\log 1.03}

Using approximate values:

log1.60.2041andlog1.030.0128\log 1.6 \approx 0.2041 \quad \text{and} \quad \log 1.03 \approx 0.0128

Then,

N>1+0.20410.012817.95N > 1 + \frac{0.2041}{0.0128} \approx 17.95

Thus, rounding up, we find:

N=18N = 18

Step 5

Find the total amount that will be given to the charity fund for the 10 years.

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Answer

To calculate the total amount given to the charity fund, we consider each year’s population.

For years 1 to 10, the populations will be:

  • Year 1: 25,000
  • Year 2: 25,750
  • Year 3: 26,522.5
  • Year 4: 27,318.5
  • Year 5: 28,140.3
  • Year 6: 28,988.7
  • Year 7: 29,864.5
  • Year 8: 30,768.2
  • Year 9: 31,700.5
  • Year 10: 32,662.3

Adding these amounts:

25000+25750+26522.5+27318.5+28140.3+28988.7+29864.5+30768.2+31698+32662.328700025000 + 25750 + 26522.5 + 27318.5 + 28140.3 + 28988.7 + 29864.5 + 30768.2 + 31698 + 32662.3 \approx 287000

So the total amount that will be given to the charity fund is approximately £287,000.

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