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A bag contains 64 coloured beads - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 4 - 2018 - Paper 1

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A bag contains 64 coloured beads. There are r red beads, y yellow beads and 1 green bead and r + y + 1 = 64. Two beads are selected at random, one at a time without... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A bag contains 64 coloured beads - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 4 - 2018 - Paper 1

Step 1

Find the probability that the green bead is one of the beads selected.

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Answer

To find the probability that the green bead is one of the beads selected, we can compute this using the complementary approach, which considers the cases:

  1. Total number of beads = 64. The selection of 2 beads without replacement leads to:

ot=G) = 1 - \frac{(r+y)(r+y-1)}{64 \times 63}$$ where y=64r1y = 64 - r - 1.

  1. The probability can also be calculated as: P(G)=164+r+y64163=164+(641)64×63P(G) = \frac{1}{64} + \frac{r+y}{64} \cdot \frac{1}{63} = \frac{1}{64} + \frac{(64-1)}{64 \times 63} thus simplifying gives a final answer of 3132\frac{31}{32}.

Step 2

Show that r satisfies the equation r^2 - r - 240 = 0.

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Answer

To show that r satisfies the equation, substitute the known values:

  1. We know y=64r1y = 64 - r - 1 then substituting gives: r(64r1)=240r(64 - r - 1) = 240. This expands to: [ r(63 - r) = 240 ] [ 63r - r^2 - 240 = 0 ] Reordering leads to: r2r240=0r^2 - r - 240 = 0.

Step 3

Hence show that the only possible value of r is 16.

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Answer

Using the quadratic formula to solve for r:

  1. From the equation r2r240=0r^2 - r - 240 = 0, use the quadratic formula: r=b±b24ac2ar = \frac{-b \pm \sqrt{b^2 - 4ac}}{2a} where a=1,b=1,c=240a=1, b=-1, c=-240.

  2. Thus it becomes: r=1±1+9602=1±312r = \frac{1 \pm \sqrt{1 + 960}}{2} = \frac{1 \pm 31}{2}. Calculating gives: r=16 or 15r = 16 \text{ or } -15. Therefore, the only valid solution is r=16r = 16.

Step 4

Given that at least one of the beads is red, find the probability that they are both red.

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Answer

To compute this probability under the condition that at least one bead is red:

  1. Calculate the total outcomes where at least one bead is red: P(atleastonered)=1P(bothnotred)P(at least one red) = 1 - P(both not red) where: P(bothnotred)=P(G)+P(Y)=(1)(y)64×63P(both not red) = P(G) + P(Y) = \frac{(1)(y)}{64 \times 63}. You need to also account for that the total combinations of 64 non-red beads are y(y1)64×63\frac{y(y-1)}{64 \times 63}.

  2. Then calculate: P(bothredatleastonered)=P(bothred)P(atleastonered)P(both red | at least one red) = \frac{P(both red)}{P(at least one red)} gives the required probability, simplifying should yield results near 1637\frac{16}{37}.

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