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A jar contains 2 red, 1 blue and 1 green bead - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2010 - Paper 1

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A jar contains 2 red, 1 blue and 1 green bead. Two beads are drawn at random from the jar without replacement. (a) In the space below, draw a tree diagram to illust... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A jar contains 2 red, 1 blue and 1 green bead - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2010 - Paper 1

Step 1

Draw the Tree Diagram

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Answer

To illustrate the possible outcomes, we start by drawing a tree diagram. The first branching represents the selection of the first bead:

  1. First bead can be:

    • Red (with probability rac{2}{4})
    • Blue (with probability rac{1}{4})
    • Green (with probability rac{1}{4})
  2. For each of these outcomes, draw branches for the second bead selection:

    • From a Red bead:
      • Red (with probability rac{1}{3})
      • Blue (with probability rac{1}{3})
      • Green (with probability rac{1}{3})
    • From a Blue bead:
      • Red (with probability rac{2}{3})
      • Green (with probability rac{1}{3})
    • From a Green bead:
      • Red (with probability rac{2}{3})
      • Blue (with probability rac{1}{3})

Thus, the full tree diagram will be:

   First Bead
    ├─ Red (2/4)
    │   ├─ Red (1/3)
    │   ├─ Blue (1/3)
    │   └─ Green (1/3)
    ├─ Blue (1/4)
    │   ├─ Red (2/3)
    │   └─ Green (1/3)
    └─ Green (1/4)
        ├─ Red (2/3)
        └─ Blue (1/3)

Step 2

Find the probability that a blue bead and a green bead are drawn

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Answer

To calculate this probability, we consider the two cases where a blue bead and a green bead can be drawn:

  1. Case 1 (Blue first, then Green): Probability = Probability(Blue) * Probability(Green given Blue)
    = rac{1}{4} * rac{1}{3} = rac{1}{12}

  2. Case 2 (Green first, then Blue): Probability = Probability(Green) * Probability(Blue given Green)
    = rac{1}{4} * rac{2}{3} = rac{1}{6}

Now, the total probability of drawing a blue and a green bead (regardless of order) is:

P(Blue ext{ and } Green) = rac{1}{12} + rac{1}{6} = rac{1}{12} + rac{2}{12} = rac{3}{12} = rac{1}{4}

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