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The length of time, L hours, that a phone will work before it needs charging is normally distributed with a mean of 100 hours and a standard deviation of 15 hours - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 4 - 2013 - Paper 1

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The length of time, L hours, that a phone will work before it needs charging is normally distributed with a mean of 100 hours and a standard deviation of 15 hours. ... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The length of time, L hours, that a phone will work before it needs charging is normally distributed with a mean of 100 hours and a standard deviation of 15 hours - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 4 - 2013 - Paper 1

Step 1

Find P(L > 127)

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Answer

To find the probability P(L > 127), we first standardize the variable:

Z=Lμσ=12710015=2715=1.8Z = \frac{L - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{127 - 100}{15} = \frac{27}{15} = 1.8

Using the Z-table or a calculator, we find:

P(Z>1.8)=1P(Z<1.8)=10.9641=0.0359P(Z > 1.8) = 1 - P(Z < 1.8) = 1 - 0.9641 = 0.0359

Hence, the probability that the phone will last more than 127 hours is approximately 0.0359.

Step 2

Find the value of d such that P(L < d) = 0.10

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Answer

From the standard normal distribution, we need to find the Z-value where the cumulative probability is 0.10. This Z-value is approximately -1.2816.

Now, we convert this Z-score back to the original variable L:

d=μ+Zσ=100+(1.2816)15d = \mu + Z \cdot \sigma = 100 + (-1.2816) \cdot 15

Calculating this gives:

d=10019.224=80.776d = 100 - 19.224 = 80.776

Thus, the value of d such that P(L < d) = 0.10 is approximately 80.776.

Step 3

Find the probability that her phone will not need charging before her journey is completed

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Answer

Since Alice's journey is for 6 hours and it has been 127 hours since her last charge, we need to find:

P(L>133)P(L > 133)

This can be calculated as:

P(L>133)=P(Z>2.2)P(L > 133) = P(Z > 2.2)

Standardizing as before gives:

Z=13310015=3315=2.2Z = \frac{133 - 100}{15} = \frac{33}{15} = 2.2

Using the Z-table or calculator, we find:

P(Z>2.2)=1P(Z<2.2)=10.9861=0.0139P(Z > 2.2) = 1 - P(Z < 2.2) = 1 - 0.9861 = 0.0139

So the probability that Alice's phone will not need charging before her journey is approximately 0.0139.

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