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1. (a) State one disadvantage of using quota sampling compared with simple random sampling - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2021 - Paper 1

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1. (a) State one disadvantage of using quota sampling compared with simple random sampling. In a university 8% of students are members of the university dance club.... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:1. (a) State one disadvantage of using quota sampling compared with simple random sampling - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2021 - Paper 1

Step 1

State one disadvantage of using quota sampling compared with simple random sampling.

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Answer

One disadvantage of quota sampling compared with simple random sampling is that it is not random; it may lead to a biased sample, affecting the reliability of inferences drawn from the data.

Step 2

Using a suitable model for X, find (i) P(X = 4)

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Answer

Given that the number of members in the dance club is 8%, we can model X using a binomial distribution:

XB(36,0.08)X \sim B(36, 0.08)

To find P(X = 4), we use the binomial probability formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

Here, n = 36, k = 4, and p = 0.08:

P(X=4)=(364)(0.08)4(0.92)320.167P(X = 4) = \binom{36}{4} (0.08)^4 (0.92)^{32} \approx 0.167

Step 3

Using a suitable model for X, find (ii) P(X > 7)

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Answer

To find P(X > 7), we can use the complement rule:

P(X>7)=1P(X7)P(X > 7) = 1 - P(X \leq 7)

We will calculate P(X ≤ 7) using the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the binomial distribution. This involves summing individual probabilities from P(X = 0) to P(X = 7):

After calculating:

P(X>7)0.222P(X > 7) \approx 0.222

Step 4

Find the probability that a student is a member of the university dance club and can dance the tango.

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Answer

We know that 40% of the dance club members can dance the tango. Therefore, the probability of a student being a member of the dance club and can dance the tango is:

P(dance club and tango)=P(dance club)×P(dance tangodance club)=0.08×0.4=0.032P(dance \ club \ and \ tango) = P(dance \ club) \times P(dance \ tango | dance \ club) = 0.08 \times 0.4 = 0.032

Step 5

Find the probability that fewer than 3 of these students are members of the university dance club and can dance the tango.

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Answer

Consider that in a sample of 50 students, we are interested in those who are members of the dance club and can dance the tango, with a probability of 0.032.

Using a binomial distribution:

Let Y be the number of students:

YB(50,0.032)Y \sim B(50, 0.032)

We want to find P(Y < 3), which can be calculated as:

P(Y<3)=P(Y=0)+P(Y=1)+P(Y=2)P(Y < 3) = P(Y = 0) + P(Y = 1) + P(Y = 2)

After calculation, we find:

P(Y<3)0.08P(Y < 3) \approx 0.08

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