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When Rohit plays a game, the number of points he receives is given by the discrete random variable $X$ with the following probability distribution - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 3 - 2009 - Paper 1

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When Rohit plays a game, the number of points he receives is given by the discrete random variable $X$ with the following probability distribution. | $x$ | 0 | 1 |... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:When Rohit plays a game, the number of points he receives is given by the discrete random variable $X$ with the following probability distribution - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 3 - 2009 - Paper 1

Step 1

Find $E(X)$

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Answer

To find the expected value E(X)E(X), we use the formula: E(X)=extsumof(ximesP(X=x))E(X) = ext{sum of } (x imes P(X=x)) Thus, E(X)=0imes0.4+1imes0.3+2imes0.2+3imes0.1E(X) = 0 imes 0.4 + 1 imes 0.3 + 2 imes 0.2 + 3 imes 0.1 E(X)=0+0.3+0.4+0.3=1.0E(X) = 0 + 0.3 + 0.4 + 0.3 = 1.0

Step 2

Find $F(1.5)$

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Answer

To find the cumulative distribution function F(1.5)F(1.5), we sum the probabilities for all xx values up to 1.5: F(1.5)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)F(1.5) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) F(1.5)=0.4+0.3=0.7F(1.5) = 0.4 + 0.3 = 0.7

Step 3

Show that $Var(X) = 1$

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To show that the variance Var(X)=1Var(X)=1, we first calculate E(X2)E(X^2): E(X2)=02imes0.4+12imes0.3+22imes0.2+32imes0.1E(X^2) = 0^2 imes 0.4 + 1^2 imes 0.3 + 2^2 imes 0.2 + 3^2 imes 0.1 E(X2)=0+0.3+0.8+0.9=2.0E(X^2) = 0 + 0.3 + 0.8 + 0.9 = 2.0

Now, using the variance formula: Var(X)=E(X2)(E(X))2Var(X) = E(X^2) - (E(X))^2 Var(X)=2.0(1.0)2=2.01.0=1.0Var(X) = 2.0 - (1.0)^2 = 2.0 - 1.0 = 1.0

Step 4

Find $Var(5 - 3X)$

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Answer

To find Var(53X)Var(5 - 3X), we use the formula for variance of a linear transformation: Var(aX+b)=a2Var(X)Var(aX + b) = a^2 Var(X) Here, a=3a = -3 and b=5b = 5: Var(53X)=(3)2Var(X)=9imes1=9Var(5 - 3X) = (-3)^2 Var(X) = 9 imes 1 = 9

Step 5

Find the probability that Rohit wins the prize

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Answer

Rohit wins the prize if the total score after 5 games is at least 10. He has 6 points after 3 games, so he needs at least 4 points in the next 2 games.

The possible scores for XX are:

  • Scoring 4 points requires: (2, 2)
  • Scoring 5 points requires: (3, 2) or (2, 3)

Probability calculations are as follows:

  1. ( P(X=2) = 0.2 ) and both games need to score 2:
    • Probability = ( 0.2 imes 0.2 = 0.04 )
  2. ( P(X=3) = 0.1 ) and any combination of points:
    • Probability for (3, 2) or (2, 3) = ( 0.1 imes 0.2 + 0.2 imes 0.1 = 0.01 + 0.01 = 0.02 )

Thus, total probability that Rohit wins the prize:

P(win)=0.04+0.02=0.06P(win) = 0.04 + 0.02 = 0.06

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