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A personnel manager wants to find out if a test carried out during an employee’s interview and a skills assessment at the end of basic training is a guide to performance after working for the company for one year - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2008 - Paper 1

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Question 1

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A personnel manager wants to find out if a test carried out during an employee’s interview and a skills assessment at the end of basic training is a guide to perform... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A personnel manager wants to find out if a test carried out during an employee’s interview and a skills assessment at the end of basic training is a guide to performance after working for the company for one year - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2008 - Paper 1

Step 1

a) Showing your working clearly, calculate the product moment correlation coefficient between the interview test and the performance after one year.

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Answer

To calculate the product moment correlation coefficient, we use the formula:

r=n(xy)(x)(y)[nx2(x)2][ny2(y)2]r = \frac{n(\sum{xy}) - (\sum{x})(\sum{y})}{\sqrt{[n\sum{x^2} - (\sum{x})^2][n\sum{y^2} - (\sum{y})^2]}}

Where:

  • n=10n = 10 (number of employees)
  • x=773\sum{x} = 773
  • y=724\sum{y} = 724
  • x2=60475\sum{x^2} = 60475
  • y2=53122\sum{y^2} = 53122
  • xy=56076\sum{xy} = 56076

Substituting the values:

r=10(56076)(773)(724)[10(60475)(773)2][10(53122)(724)2]r = \frac{10(56076) - (773)(724)}{\sqrt{[10(60475) - (773)^2][10(53122) - (724)^2]}}

Calculating each part:

  1. nxy=560760n\sum{xy} = 560760
  2. (x)(y)=560612(\sum{x})(\sum{y}) = 560612
  3. nx2=604750n\sum{x^2} = 604750
  4. (x)2=597529(\sum{x})^2 = 597529
  5. ny2=531220n\sum{y^2} = 531220
  6. (y)2=523776(\sum{y})^2 = 523776

Now, substituting these values into the formula:

r=560760560612[604750597529][531220523776]r = \frac{560760 - 560612}{\sqrt{[604750 - 597529][531220 - 523776]}}

Calculating:

r=148[8221][7444]0.1553r = \frac{148}{\sqrt{[8221][7444]}}\approx 0.1553

Thus, the product moment correlation coefficient r is approximately 0.155.

Step 2

b) Use your answer to (a) to comment on whether or not the interview test and skills assessment are a guide to the performance after one year.

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Answer

The calculated correlation coefficient of approximately 0.155 indicates a weak positive correlation between the interview test scores and the performance after one year. This suggests that there is a slight tendency for higher interview scores to correlate with better performance.

However, both the correlation and the specific values indicate that neither the interview test nor the skills assessment can be considered strong predictors of future performance. The findings suggest that while there may be some relationship, it is not robust enough to rely on for accurate predictions. Therefore, we cannot conclude that the interview test or skills assessment is a reliable guide to performance after one year.

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