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Given that P(A) = 0.35, P(B) = 0.45 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.13 find a) P(A' | B') b) Explain why the events A and B are not independent - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 4 - 2017 - Paper 2

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Given-that--P(A)-=-0.35,-P(B)-=-0.45-and-P(A-∩-B)-=-0.13--find--a)-P(A'-|-B')--b)-Explain-why-the-events-A-and-B-are-not-independent-Edexcel-A-Level Maths Statistics-Question 4-2017-Paper 2.png

Given that P(A) = 0.35, P(B) = 0.45 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.13 find a) P(A' | B') b) Explain why the events A and B are not independent. The event C has P(C) = 0.20 T... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:Given that P(A) = 0.35, P(B) = 0.45 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.13 find a) P(A' | B') b) Explain why the events A and B are not independent - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 4 - 2017 - Paper 2

Step 1

a) P(A' | B')

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Answer

To find the probability of A' given B', we can use the formula:

P(AB)=1P(AB)P(A' | B') = 1 - P(A | B)

First, we need to calculate P(A | B) using the formula:

P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A | B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}

Substituting the values we have:

P(AB)=0.130.450.2889P(A | B) = \frac{0.13}{0.45} \approx 0.2889

Thus,

P(AB)=10.28890.7111P(A' | B') = 1 - 0.2889 \approx 0.7111

Which can also be represented as 3245\frac{32}{45}.

Step 2

b) Explain why the events A and B are not independent.

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Answer

Two events A and B are independent if:

P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B)

Calculating the right side:

P(A)×P(B)=0.35×0.45=0.1575P(A) \times P(B) = 0.35 \times 0.45 = 0.1575

Since we have:

P(AB)=0.13P(A \cap B) = 0.13

And this does not equal 0.1575, we conclude that A and B are not independent.

Step 3

c) Draw a Venn diagram to illustrate the events A, B and C, giving the probabilities for each region.

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Answer

The Venn diagram should show three overlapping circles labeled A, B, and C. The probabilities for each region should be filled as follows:

  • A ∩ B: 0.13 (The overlap between A and B)
  • A ∩ C: 0.09 (Mutually exclusive with B)
  • B ∩ C: 0.22 (Shared between B and C)
  • A ∩ B ∩ C: 0.00 (There is no shared region with A, B, and C)
  • Outside all: The remainder percentage derived from the total.

The regions and their probabilities should indicate the contributions of each event accurately.

Step 4

d) Find P(B ∪ C')

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Answer

Using the formula for the union of two events:

P(BC)=P(B)+P(C)P(BC)P(B \cup C') = P(B) + P(C') - P(B \cap C')

First, we calculate P(C'):

P(C)=1P(C)=10.20=0.80P(C') = 1 - P(C) = 1 - 0.20 = 0.80

Now we need to determine P(B ∩ C'). Since B and C are independent:

P(BC)=P(B)×P(C)=0.45×0.80=0.36P(B \cap C') = P(B) \times P(C') = 0.45 \times 0.80 = 0.36

Now substituting everything back into the union formula:

P(BC)=0.45+0.800.36=0.89P(B \cup C') = 0.45 + 0.80 - 0.36 = 0.89

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