The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with mean $\mu$ cm and standard deviation $\sigma$ cm - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 1
Question 7
The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with mean $\mu$ cm and standard deviation $\sigma$ cm. It is known that 30% of the women are taller tha... show full transcript
Worked Solution & Example Answer:The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with mean $\mu$ cm and standard deviation $\sigma$ cm - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 1
Step 1
Sketch a diagram to show the distribution of heights represented by this information.
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Answer
The diagram should depict a bell-shaped curve indicating a normal distribution. The vertical axis represents the probability density, while the horizontal axis represents the height in centimeters. Mark the points for 154 cm (5th percentile) and 172 cm (70th percentile) accordingly. Indicate the area under the curve to the left of 154 cm as 0.05 and to the right of 172 cm as 0.30.
Step 2
Show that $\mu = 154 + 1.6449\sigma$.
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Answer
Using the information provided, we can derive the equation:
Given P(X<154)=0.05, we get: z=σ154−μ=−1.6449
This implies that: 154−μ=−1.6449σ
Rearranging, we find: μ=154+1.6449σ
Step 3
Obtain a second equation and hence find the value of $\mu$ and the value of $\sigma$.
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We know that 30% of the women are taller than 172 cm, thus P(X>172)=0.30, which implies P(X<172)=0.70.
By using the z-score for this percentile: z=σ172−μ=0.524 (approximately)
This leads us to the equation: 172−μ=0.524σ
We now have a system of two equations:
μ=154+1.6449σ
172−μ=0.524σ
Substituting the first equation into the second allows us to solve for μ and σ. After solving, we find:
μ≈167.65 and σ≈8.30
Step 4
Find the probability that she is taller than 160 cm.
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Answer
To find the probability that a woman chosen at random is taller than 160 cm, we find: P(Tallerthan160)=P(Z>σ160−μ)
Calculating the z-score:
z=8.30160−167.65≈−0.91
Utilizing standard normal distribution tables, we find:
P(Z>−0.91)=0.8186 (approximately)
Thus, the probability that a randomly chosen woman is taller than 160 cm is approximately 0.82.