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A personnel manager wants to find out if a test carried out during an employee’s interview and a skills assessment at the end of basic training is a guide to performance after working for the company for one year - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2008 - Paper 1

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Question 1

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A personnel manager wants to find out if a test carried out during an employee’s interview and a skills assessment at the end of basic training is a guide to perform... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A personnel manager wants to find out if a test carried out during an employee’s interview and a skills assessment at the end of basic training is a guide to performance after working for the company for one year - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2008 - Paper 1

Step 1

Showing your working clearly, calculate the product moment correlation coefficient between the interview test and the performance after one year.

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Answer

To calculate the product moment correlation coefficient, we use the formula:

r=n(xy)(x)(y)(nx2(x)2)(ny2(y)2)r = \frac{n(\sum{xy}) - (\sum{x})(\sum{y})}{\sqrt{\left(n \sum{x^2} - (\sum{x})^2\right) \left(n \sum{y^2} - (\sum{y})^2\right)}}

Where:

  • (n = 10) (the number of employees)
  • (\sum{x} = 773) (the sum of the interview test scores)
  • (\sum{y} = 724) (the sum of the performance scores)
  • (\sum{xy} = 56676) (the sum of the products of x and y)
  • (\sum{x^2} = 60475) (the sum of the squares of x)
  • (\sum{y^2} = 53212) (the sum of the squares of y)

Substituting these values into the formula:

r=10(56676)(773)(724)(10×604757732)(10×532127242)r = \frac{10(56676) - (773)(724)}{\sqrt{(10 \times 60475 - 773^2)(10 \times 53212 - 724^2)}}

Calculating:

  1. Calculate the numerator: 10(56676)(773)(724)=566760559012=774810(56676) - (773)(724) = 566760 - 559012 = 7748
  2. Calculate the first part of the denominator: 10×604757732=604750597529=822110 \times 60475 - 773^2 = 604750 - 597529 = 8221
  3. Calculate the second part of the denominator: 10×532127242=532120524176=794410 \times 53212 - 724^2 = 532120 - 524176 = 7944
  4. Combine: 8221×7944\sqrt{8221 \times 7944}

Calculating this gives approximately (\sqrt{65273484} \approx 8081.79).

Thus, the denominator becomes:

8221×79448081.79\sqrt{8221 \times 7944} \approx 8081.79

Now substitute back into the formula:

r77488081.790.96r \approx \frac{7748}{8081.79} \approx 0.96

Therefore, the product moment correlation coefficient is approximately 0.96.

Step 2

The product moment correlation coefficient between the skills assessment and the performance after one year is -0.156 to 3 significant figures.

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Answer

From part (a), we found that the product moment correlation coefficient (r) was approximately 0.96, indicating a strong positive correlation between the interview test scores and the performance after one year.

In contrast, the provided coefficient for the skills assessment is negative (-0.156), indicating a weak inverse correlation between skills assessment scores and performance after one year. This suggests that, unlike the interview test, the skills assessment does not reliably predict employee performance.

Therefore, based on these correlation coefficients:

  • The interview test score could be considered as a viable indicator for future performance.
  • The skills assessment is not a good predictor for future performance, based on the negative correlation.

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