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A teacher is monitoring the progress of students using a computer based revision course - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2009 - Paper 1

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A teacher is monitoring the progress of students using a computer based revision course. The improvement in performance, y marks, is recorded for each student along ... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A teacher is monitoring the progress of students using a computer based revision course - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 1 - 2009 - Paper 1

Step 1

Calculate \( S_{xx} \) and \( S_{yy} \)

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Answer

To calculate ( S_{xx} ) and ( S_{yy} ), we can use the formulas:

  1. Calculate ( S_{xx} = \sum x^2 - \frac{(\sum x)^2}{n} )

    • Here, ( \sum x^2 = 57.22 )
    • ( \sum x = 21.4 )
    • With ( n = 10 ):

    Sxx=57.22(21.4)210=57.2245.756=11.464S_{xx} = 57.22 - \frac{(21.4)^2}{10} = 57.22 - 45.756 = 11.464

  2. Calculate ( S_{yy} = \sum y^2 - \frac{(\sum y)^2}{n} )

    • Here, ( \sum y = 96 )
    • And using the individual ( y ) values:
    • ( \sum y^2 = (5^2 + 20^2 + 21^2 + 13^2 + 17^2 + (-3)^2 + (-5)^2 + 15^2 + (-10)^2 + 20^2) = 313.7 )
    • Using this we find:

    Syy=313.7(96)210=313.7921.6=607.9S_{yy} = 313.7 - \frac{(96)^2}{10} = 313.7 - 921.6 = -607.9

Step 2

Find the equation of the least squares regression line of y on x in the form \( y = a + bx \)

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Answer

To find the equation of the least squares regression line:

  1. Calculate the slope ( b ):

    • Formula: ( b = \frac{S_{xy}}{S_{xx}} ) where ( S_{xy} = \sum xy - \frac{(\sum x)(\sum y)}{n} )
    • Yielding the calculation as:

    S_{xy} = 313.7 - \frac{(21.4)(96)}{10} = 313.7 - 204.48 = 109.22 \

    • So, ( b = \frac{109.22}{11.464} = 9.525 $$
  2. Calculate the intercept ( a ):

    • Formula: ( a = \frac{\sum y - b \sum x}{n} )

    a=969.52521.410=96203.9910=10.399a = \frac{96 - 9.525 \cdot 21.4}{10} = \frac{96 - 203.99}{10} = -10.399

  3. Therefore, the regression equation is:

    y=10.399+9.525xy = -10.399 + 9.525x

Step 3

Give an interpretation of the gradient of your regression line

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Answer

The gradient of the regression line, ( b = 9.525 ), indicates that for each additional hour spent in the revision course, the students' marks are expected to improve by approximately 9.5 marks. This shows a positive correlation between time spent on the revision and performance.

Step 4

Rosemary spends 3.3 hours using the revision course. Predict her improvement in marks.

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Answer

To predict Rosemary's improvement in marks, substitute ( x = 3.3 ) into the regression equation:

y=10.399+9.525(3.3)y = -10.399 + 9.525(3.3)

Calculating:

y=10.399+31.4415=21.0425y = -10.399 + 31.4415 = 21.0425

Therefore, Rosemary is predicted to improve by approximately 21 marks.

Step 5

Lee spends 8 hours using the revision course claiming that this should give him an improvement in performance of over 60 marks. Comment on Lee's claim.

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Answer

To assess Lee's claim, we substitute ( x = 8 ) into our regression equation:

y=10.399+9.525(8)y = -10.399 + 9.525(8)

Calculating:

y=10.399+76.2=65.801y = -10.399 + 76.2 = 65.801

This indicates that Lee is predicted to improve by approximately 65.8 marks; therefore, his claim holds true as it exceeds 60 marks. However, the model's validity may be questioned since it is based on a limited dataset.

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