The score when a spinner is spun is given by the discrete random variable X with the following probability distribution, where a and b are probabilities - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 5 - 2018 - Paper 1
Question 5
The score when a spinner is spun is given by the discrete random variable X with the following probability distribution, where a and b are probabilities.
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Worked Solution & Example Answer:The score when a spinner is spun is given by the discrete random variable X with the following probability distribution, where a and b are probabilities - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 5 - 2018 - Paper 1
Step 1
Explain why E(X) = 2.
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Answer
The expected value E(X) is calculated as follows:
E(X)=(−1)imesb+0imesa+2imesa+4imesa+5imesb
This simplifies to:
E(X)=−b+7a
Setting this equal to 2, we have:
−b+7a=2
Step 2
Find a linear equation in a and b.
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Answer
From the probability distribution, we know that:
a+b=1
This provides our first linear equation.
Step 3
Find a second equation in a and b and simplify your answer.
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From the first equation, rearranging gives:
b=1−a
Substituting this into the earlier equation −b+7a=2 yields:
−(1−a)+7a=2
This simplifies to:
8a−1=2
Thus, we have:
8a=3⇒a=0.375
Step 4
Solve your two equations to find the value of a and the value of b.
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Using our first equation:
From a+b=1, with a=0.375, we substitute to find:
b=1−0.375=0.625
Step 5
Find E(Y).
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We have the transformation for Y as:
Y=10−3X
Thus, using the formula for the expectation:
E(Y)=10−3E(X)=10−3imes2=4
Step 6
Find Var(Y).
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Using the variance transformation property:
Var(Y)=9imesVar(X)
Substituting Var(X) = 7.1:
Var(Y)=9imes7.1=63.9
Step 7
Find P(Y > X).
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To find P(Y > X):
We first analyze the relationship between Y and X separately. Given that:
Y can take values {10−3x} when X takes values {±1, 0, 2, 4, 5}.
This means evaluating P for each combination of X and Y, ultimately leading to:
P(Y>X)=P(Y=0)+P(Y=1)+P(Y=2)+P(Y=3)=0.55