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A biologist is comparing the intervals (m seconds) between the mating calls of a certain species of tree frog and the surrounding temperature (t °C) - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 3 - 2013 - Paper 1

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A biologist is comparing the intervals (m seconds) between the mating calls of a certain species of tree frog and the surrounding temperature (t °C). The following r... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A biologist is comparing the intervals (m seconds) between the mating calls of a certain species of tree frog and the surrounding temperature (t °C) - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 3 - 2013 - Paper 1

Step 1

Show that $S_{m} = -90.5$

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Answer

To find SmS_{m}, we start with the formula:

Sm=m2(m)2nS_{m} = \sum m^2 - \frac{(\sum m)^{2}}{n}

First, we use the values provided:

  • m=354\sum m = 354
  • m2=25.5\sum m^2 = 25.5
  • n=8n = 8 (since there are 8 observations)

Now, we can calculate:

Sm=25.5(354)28S_{m} = 25.5 - \frac{(354)^{2}}{8}

Calculating the second term gives:

Sm=25.516598.25=90.5S_{m} = 25.5 - 16598.25 = -90.5

Thus, we have shown that Sm=90.5S_{m} = -90.5.

Step 2

Find the equation of the regression line of m on t giving your answer in the form m = a + bt.

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Answer

The formula to compute the slope (b) of the regression line is:

b=SmStb = \frac{S_{m}}{S_{t}}

Using the values:

  • Sm=90.5S_{m} = -90.5
  • St=354S_{t} = 354

We find:

b=90.5354=0.2556490.256b = \frac{-90.5}{354} = -0.255649 \approx -0.256

Now, we need to compute the y-intercept (a) using:

a=mˉbtˉa = \bar{m} - b \bar{t}

Where:

  • mˉ=mn=3548=44.25\bar{m} = \frac{\sum m}{n} = \frac{354}{8} = 44.25
  • tˉ=17.5\bar{t} = 17.5

Thus:

a=44.25(0.256)(17.5)47.03a = 44.25 - (-0.256)(17.5) \approx 47.03

The equation of the regression line is:

m=47.030.256tm = 47.03 - 0.256t

Step 3

Use your regression line to estimate the time interval between mating calls when the surrounding temperature is 10 °C.

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Answer

To estimate the time interval (m) when the surrounding temperature t is 10 °C, we can substitute t into the regression equation:

m=47.030.256(10)m = 47.03 - 0.256(10)

Calculating gives:

m=47.032.56=44.47 secondsm = 47.03 - 2.56 = 44.47 \text{ seconds}

Thus, the estimated time interval between mating calls is approximately 44.47 seconds.

Step 4

Comment on the reliability of this estimate, giving a reason for your answer.

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Answer

The reliability of this estimate is questionable because the surrounding temperature of 10 °C falls outside the range of the provided data (8 °C to 30 °C). Consequently, the regression model may not accurately predict the mating call intervals for temperatures not represented in the original dataset.

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