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This spinner has two grey sections, two white sections and one black section - OCR - GCSE Maths - Question 19 - 2019 - Paper 1

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Question 19

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This spinner has two grey sections, two white sections and one black section. Vlad says The probability of the spinner landing on black is \( \frac{1}{5} \) Expl... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:This spinner has two grey sections, two white sections and one black section - OCR - GCSE Maths - Question 19 - 2019 - Paper 1

Step 1

Explain why Vlad is not correct.

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Answer

Vlad's assertion that the probability of the spinner landing on black is ( \frac{1}{5} ) is incorrect. The spinner has a total of five sections: two grey, two white, and one black. The correct probability of landing on black can be calculated using the formula:

P(Black)=Number of favourable outcomesTotal outcomes=15P(Black) = \frac{Number\ of\ favourable\ outcomes}{Total\ outcomes} = \frac{1}{5}

However, the total number of sections is not equally distributed. The probability should reflect the proportion of the section compared to the total:

P(Black)=1513P(Black) = \frac{1}{5} \neq \frac{1}{3}

Thus, the accurate probability of landing on black is actually ( \frac{1}{5} ) but depends on the interpretation of equal sections.

Step 2

Explain why this graph is misleading.

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Answer

The graph that shows the cost of petrol over the last six months can be misleading due to several factors:

  1. Scale Issues: If the y-axis scale is manipulated, it can exaggerate or minimize changes in petrol prices, making trends appear more dramatic or less significant than they are.

  2. Selected Data: The graph may only represent specific points rather than showing a full range of data. For instance, if only specific values are plotted without connecting all points or averaging them, it could lead to incorrect conclusions about overall trends in prices.

  3. Lack of Context: Without additional context, such as external economic influences, the viewer might not understand why prices fluctuated during that period, leading to misconceptions about the market conditions affecting petrol prices.

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