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Globalisation Simplified Revision Notes

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4.3 Globalisation

DEFINITIONS:

  1. Absolute advantage: when a country can produce a good or service more efficiently using less resources and at a lower cost than another country
  2. Comparative advantage: when a country can produce a good or service at a lower opportunity cost than another country
  3. Terms of trade: the ratio of export prices to import prices. It is usually expressed as an index number and it is calculated by: (index of export prices / index of import prices) * 100
  4. Globalisation: the process of increased global interconnectivity and interdependence as a result of the following: trade, migration, financial flows and technology
  5. Marshall-Lerner condition: a depreciation will improve the current account if the sum of the price elasticity of demand for exports + the price elasticity of demand for imports > 1
  6. J-Curve effect: following a depreciation of the currency, the current account will worsen initially before improving

Explain:

4.3.1 Globalisation

Globalisation refers to the process of increasing interconnectedness and interdependence among countries through the exchange of goods, services, information, and capital. It involves the integration of economies, cultures, and political systems on a global scale. Key drivers of globalisation include advancements in technology, international trade liberalisation, and the growth of multinational corporations.

Key Points:

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  1. Economic Integration: Globalisation leads to greater trade and investment flows between countries. It enables businesses to access larger markets and gain from economies of scale, while consumers benefit from a wider variety of products at potentially lower prices.
  2. Cultural Exchange: It facilitates the spread of cultural values, ideas, and practices across borders, promoting cross-cultural understanding and diversity but also raising concerns about cultural homogenisation.
  3. Technological Advancements: Innovations in communication and transportation technologies have significantly reduced the costs and barriers to international trade and investment.
  4. Labour Markets: Globalisation impacts labour markets by creating job opportunities in developing countries and driving competition for jobs in developed nations, which can affect wages and working conditions.
  5. Global Governance: It necessitates international cooperation and policy coordination to address global issues such as environmental challenges, economic disparities, and regulatory standards.

4.3.2 International competitiveness

International Competitiveness

International competitiveness refers to the ability of a country or firm to compete effectively in global markets. It reflects how well a country can produce goods and services that meet the test of international markets while maintaining or increasing the real incomes of its residents.

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Key aspects include:

  1. Productivity: Higher productivity allows a country to produce more output with the same amount of inputs, leading to lower costs and more competitive pricing in international markets.
  2. Exchange Rates: A country's exchange rate can affect its competitiveness. A depreciation of the domestic currency can make a country's exports cheaper and imports more expensive, potentially improving competitiveness.
  3. Cost Structures: Competitive advantage can be influenced by lower production costs, including wages, materials, and overheads, which can help firms to offer lower prices compared to international competitors.
  4. Quality and Innovation: High-quality products and innovations can enhance competitiveness by creating unique value propositions and differentiating products in the global market.
  5. Trade Policies: Trade policies and agreements can also impact competitiveness by influencing market access and trade barriers.

4.3.3 Absolute and comparative advantage

Absolute Advantage

lightbulbExample

Example: If Country A can produce 10 units of steel using 5 workers, while Country B can only produce 8 units of steel with the same number of workers, Country A has an absolute advantage in steel production.

Significance: Absolute advantage highlights the efficiency of production. A country with an absolute advantage can produce more goods with the same resources or the same goods with fewer resources compared to another country.

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In summary, absolute advantage focuses on overall efficiency, while comparative advantage emphasizes the opportunity cost and the benefits of specializing and trading based on relative efficiency.

Comparative Advantage

lightbulbExample

Example: If Country A can produce either 10 units of steel or 5 units of wheat with the same resources, while Country B can produce either 8 units of steel or 6 units of wheat, then Country A has a comparative advantage in steel (because it sacrifices fewer units of wheat per unit of steel), and Country B has a comparative advantage in wheat.

Significance: Comparative advantage underpins the benefits of trade. Even if one country is less efficient in producing all goods (lacking absolute advantage), trade can still be beneficial if each country specializes in goods where it has a comparative advantage.

4.3.4 Terms of trade

Terms of Trade (ToT) refer to the ratio at which one country's goods are exchanged for those of another country. It measures the relative price of a country's exports compared to its imports. Essentially, it indicates how many units of exports are needed to purchase a given amount of imports.

Mathematically, the Terms of Trade are calculated using the formula:

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Terms of Trade=Index of Export PricesIndex of Import Prices×100\text{Terms of Trade} = \frac{\text{Index of Export Prices}}{\text{Index of Import Prices}} \times 100

An improvement in the Terms of Trade means that a country can buy more imports for a given quantity of exports, which is beneficial for the country's economy. Conversely, a deterioration in the Terms of Trade means that a country has to export more to purchase the same amount of imports, potentially indicating economic challenges.

4.3.5 Marshall-Lerner condition and J-curve

Marshall-Lerner Condition:

The Marshall-Lerner condition is an economic principle used to analyse the impact of a depreciation or devaluation of a country's currency on its trade balance. According to the condition, a currency devaluation will improve a country's trade balance (i.e., reduce a trade deficit or increase a trade surplus) if the sum of the price elasticities of demand for exports and imports is greater than one.

In other words, if the combined elasticity of demand for exports and imports is greater than one, then a decrease in the value of the domestic currency will lead to a greater increase in the value of exports and a greater decrease in the value of imports, thus improving the trade balance.

  1. Short-term Impact: When a currency devalues, export prices in foreign currencies rise, but it takes time for foreign demand to increase. Simultaneously, the cost of imports rises, leading to an initial worsening of the trade balance.
  2. Long-term Impact: As time passes, domestic consumers and businesses adjust to the higher cost of imports, reducing their import demand. At the same time, foreign consumers start buying more of the now cheaper exports. Consequently, the trade balance begins to improve, creating a 'J' shaped curve when plotted over time. J-Curve Effect:
image
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The J-curve effect describes the short-term and long-term impacts of a currency devaluation on a country's trade balance. Initially, after a currency devaluation, the trade balance might deteriorate before it improves. This is because: The J-curve illustrates the initial deterioration followed by eventual improvement in the trade balance after a devaluation, leading to a J-shaped trajectory on a graph of trade balance against time.

Explanation & Calculation

4.3.6 Terms of Trade (TOT)

Formula:

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Terms of Trade (TOT):

TOT=(Index of Export PricesIndex of Import Prices)×100\text{TOT} = \left( \frac{\text{Index of Export Prices}}{\text{Index of Import Prices}} \right) \times 100

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Explanation:

  • Improvement in TOT: This occurs when the export prices increase relative to import prices. It means a country can buy more imports for any given level of exports.
  • Deterioration in TOT: This happens when the export prices decrease relative to import prices. It means a country can buy fewer imports for any given level of exports.

Calculation Steps:

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1. Calculate the Index of Export Prices (IPE):

IPE=(Current year export pricesBase year export prices)×100\text{IPE} = \left( \frac{\text{Current year export prices}}{\text{Base year export prices}} \right) \times 100

2. Calculate the Index of Import Prices (IPI):

IPI=(Current year import pricesBase year import prices)×100\text{IPI} = \left( \frac{\text{Current year import prices}}{\text{Base year import prices}} \right) \times 100

3. Calculate Terms of Trade (TOT):

TOT=(IPEIPI)Ă—100\text{TOT} = \left( \frac{\text{IPE}}{\text{IPI}} \right) \times 100

Example Calculation:

Suppose in the base year, the export prices index is 100, and the import prices index is also 100. In the current year, the export prices index has risen to 120, and the import prices index has risen to 150.

  1. Index of Export Prices (IPE):

IPE=(120100)Ă—100=120\text{IPE} = \left( \frac{120}{100} \right) \times 100 = 120

  1. Index of Import Prices (IPI):

IPI=(150100)Ă—100=150\text{IPI} = \left( \frac{150}{100} \right) \times 100 = 150

  1. Calculate TOT:

TOT=(120150)Ă—100=80\text{TOT} = \left( \frac{120}{150} \right) \times 100 = 80

Interpretation:

  • TOT of 80: This indicates a deterioration in the terms of trade compared to the base year. It means that for every unit of exports, the country can now buy less than before because the import prices have risen faster than the export prices.
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