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10.3.1 The factors governing the Prime Minister's selection of ministers.

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Introduction: The selection of ministers is a critical aspect of a Prime Minister's (PM) power, deeply influenced by various factors. This process is governed by the PM's patronage powers, allowing them to shape their government's direction, manage party factions, and ensure loyalty within the Cabinet. The Prime Ministers cabinet will help determine and influence the direction of government and will be symbolic of the party's goals and values.

Keir Starmer's 2024 cabinet

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The majority of Cabinet members attended comprehensive schools, making this the most educationally diverse Cabinet ever recorded

  • Comprehensive Schools: 92% (23 Cabinet ministers) were educated at comprehensive schools.
  • Independent Schools: Only 4% (1 minister) attended an independent school.
  • Grammar Schools: 4% (1 minister) went to a grammar school.
  • Comparison to Previous Cabinets: The proportion of Cabinet ministers educated at comprehensive schools is significantly higher compared to those under Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss, both at 19%.
  • Top Positions: While the Prime Minister attended a grammar school, the Chancellor, Foreign Secretary, and Home Secretary were all educated at comprehensive schools.
  • Private Education: Only 1 Cabinet member was privately educated for the majority of their secondary education between the ages of 11-16.
  • Elite Universities: Of the 25 Cabinet ministers, 40% attended either Oxford or Cambridge.

Patronage Powers:

  • Definition: The PM's ability to appoint, promote, and dismiss ministers.
  • Significance: Central to maintaining control over the government and ensuring the implementation of the PM's policies.

Factors Influencing Ministerial Selection:

  1. Political Loyalty and Trust:
  • Loyalty: Ensuring ministers are loyal to the PM's agenda is paramount.
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  • Example: Boris Johnson, after becoming PM in 2019, appointed close allies and loyalists such as Priti Patel as Home Secretary and Matt Hancock as Health Secretary, even if they were not specialists in their fields. This approach helps create a supportive environment for policy-making but risks creating an echo chamber of "yes-men".
  1. Competence and Expertise:
  • Competence: Ministers must be capable of managing their departments effectively.
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  • Example: Despite their initial appointments, ministers like Matt Hancock faced scrutiny over their competence. Hancock's breach of social distancing rules during the COVID-19 pandemic severely undermined his credibility as Health Secretary.
  1. Representation and Diversity:
  • Representation: Balancing representation across different regions, genders, and backgrounds to reflect the electorate.
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  • Example: Theresa May and Boris Johnson both made efforts to ensure gender and ethnic diversity in their Cabinets.
  1. Party Unity and Managing Factions:
  • Unity: Appointing ministers from various party factions to maintain internal harmony.
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  • Example: David Cameron included both Europhiles and Eurosceptics in his Cabinet to manage party divisions over Europe. This approach helps prevent factional splits but can lead to internal conflicts.
  1. Political Experience and Seniority:
  • Experience: Prioritizing experienced politicians for senior positions.
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  • Example: Rishi Sunak's promotion of David Cameron to Foreign Secretary after awarding him a peerage reflects the value placed on experience and previous service.

Use of Patronage Powers:

  1. Cabinet Selection:
  • Autonomy: The PM has significant autonomy in choosing their Cabinet.
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  • Example: Tony Blair appointed 162 Labour peers after taking office in 1997, strengthening his control over the party and government.
  1. Committee Utilisation:
  • Committees: Increasing reliance on committees can undermine the traditional role of the Cabinet.
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  • Example: Blair's use of "sofa government" with advisers like Alastair Campbell, and the extensive use of committees by Thatcher and Cameron, highlight a trend towards more informal decision-making processes.
  1. Handling Scandals and Resignations:
  • Scandals: How a PM handles scandals and calls for resignation can impact their authority.
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  • Example: Despite media pressure, Boris Johnson resisted removing Matt Hancock from the Cabinet after his rule-breaking incident, but Hancock eventually resigned. This shows the limits of PM's control in the face of public and media scrutiny.
  1. Impact of Media and Public Opinion:
  • Media Pressure: Media scrutiny can force a PM to act against their preferences.
  • Evaluation: Hancock's resignation under media pressure demonstrates that while the PM has significant patronage powers, they are not absolute and can be challenged by public opinion.

Historical Evaluations:

  1. Margaret Thatcher and Geoffrey Howe:
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  • Example: Geoffrey Howe, Thatcher's longest-serving cabinet minister, resigned in 1990 due to disagreements over the unpopular poll tax, significantly contributing to Thatcher's resignation three weeks later. This example illustrates how critical resignations can destabilize a PM's authority and lead to their downfall.

Conclusion: The selection of ministers is a nuanced and strategic process for any PM, balancing loyalty, competence, representation, and experience. While patronage powers afford the PM considerable influence, they are not without limitations. Media scrutiny, public opinion, and internal party dynamics can all challenge a PM's choices, shaping the broader political landscape. The cases of Boris Johnson, Tony Blair, and Margaret Thatcher provide valuable insights into the complexities and impacts of these decisions.

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