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Natural Rate of Unemployment: The natural rate of unemployment refers to the level of unemployment that persists in an economy when it is operating at full potential or potential output. It includes frictional and structural unemployment but excludes cyclical unemployment, which varies with the business cycle. It represents the equilibrium level of unemployment that exists even when the economy is producing at its maximum sustainable output.
Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU): The NAIRU is the level of unemployment below which inflation begins to accelerate. It indicates the lowest sustainable rate of unemployment that an economy can achieve without causing inflation to increase. Economists believe that when unemployment falls below the NAIRU, resource utilization increases to a point where wages and prices start to rise more rapidly, leading to inflationary pressures. Thus, the NAIRU serves as a guide for policymakers in balancing low unemployment with stable prices.
Keynesian Approach: The Keynesian view of aggregate supply (AS) is characterized by the belief that the economy can be in equilibrium at less than full employment. According to Keynesian economics, the AS curve is divided into three distinct regions:
Neo-Classical Approach: The neo-classical view of aggregate supply assumes that the economy is always at or rapidly returns to full employment due to flexible prices and wages. The AS curve in the neo-classical model is vertical at the full employment level of output (potential output), indicating that in the long run, output is determined by factors such as technology, resources, and institutional factors, rather than the price level.
The Phillips Curve illustrates the relationship between inflation and unemployment. In the short run, there is typically an inverse relationship, meaning higher inflation is associated with lower unemployment, and vice versa. However, in the long run, this relationship breaks down, and the economy returns to the natural rate of unemployment, regardless of inflation.
Below is a diagram illustrating both the short-run and long-run Phillips Curves:
Short-Run Phillips Curve
Long-Run Phillips Curve
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