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Hypothesis Testing Simplified Revision Notes

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21.1.2 Hypothesis Testing

Hypothesis Testing for Correlation

A hypothesis test is a statistical test with which we can test experimental data and say, to differing degrees of certainty, whether something is true.

When performing such a test for correlation, we first assume no correlation and then see if experimental data suggest otherwise.

infoNote

An example of an acceptance statement would be:

  • Accept / Do not reject H0H_0.
  • Insufficient evidence to suggest...

Worked Examples

lightbulbExample

Example Average life expectancy and processor speed of the CPU in PCs varied over:

YearProcessor speed (Hz)Life expectancy (years)
19906.6×1076.6 \times 10^774
19951.2×1081.2 \times 10^875
20001.0×1091.0 \times 10^977
20051.8×1091.8 \times 10^979
20102.4×1092.4 \times 10^980

Test at the 5% significance level whether there is positive correlation between processor speed and life expectancy.

This means we are trying to show with 95% certainty (or 5% uncertainty) whether correlation exists.


1. Define the parameter ρ\rho ("rho") in words

Let ρ\rho = "the population correlation coefficient between processor speed and life expectancy of a PC."

(Must be in context).


2. State the null and alternate hypotheses

H0:ρ=0(Assume no correlation)H_0: \rho = 0 \quad \text{(Assume no correlation)}

H1:ρ>0(Testing for positive correlation)H_1: \rho > 0 \quad \text{(Testing for positive correlation)}


3. Calculate 'r' from the test data

r=:highlight[0.9896]\Rightarrow r = :highlight[0.9896]

The table gives us "critical values" for different significance levels.

If testing is in a given direction (in this case we are only testing for positive correlation), the tables tell us the cut-off point for no correlation. Anything bigger than this value (or smaller than the negative of the value if testing for negative correlation), then we can say with 'xx%' certainty (where x=100x = 100 - sig level) that there is this type of correlation.


4. Compare your observed value for 'rr' to the critical value in the table

0.9896>0.8054 0.9896 > 0.8054

5. Conclude in context

Reject H0H_0.

Sufficient evidence to suggest that there is a positive correlation between processor speed and life expectancy of a PC.

lightbulbExample

Example A road safety group test the braking distance of cars of different ages

Age in yearsBraking distance in metres
331.3
638.6
740.1
735.1
948.4

Test at the 10% significance level whether there is a correlation between age and braking distance.


Let ρ\rho be the population correlation coefficient between the age of a car and its braking distance.

H0:ρ=0H_0: \rho = 0

H1:ρ0H_1: \rho \neq 0

We test ρ0\rho \neq 0 as we have not been told to test for + or - correlation.

Note: Because we have no idea in which direction to test, we split the 10% significance: 5% testing for positive and 5% for negative correlation.

r=:highlight[0.8756] r = :highlight[0.8756]0.8756>0.8054 0.8756 > 0.8054

Reject H0H_0.

Sufficient evidence to suggest that there is a correlation between age and braking distance of a car.

This means that r>0.8054r > 0.8054 or r<0.8054r < -0.8054 would lead to rejection of H0H_0.

lightbulbExample

Example: Find Spearman's rank correlation coefficient for each of the following data sets.

Conduct a two-tailed test for association using a 10% significance level.

x46322253733137
y75383770269226

Note that Spearman's rank tests use the method except:

  • There is a different table to read from.
  • The hypotheses refer to "association" rather than ρ\rho.

Tip: Calculating r_s in the calculator using rankings gives r_s.

H0H_0: There is no association between xx and yy.

H1H_1: There is an association between xx and y (indicates 22-tailed).

image rs=:highlight[0.6071]r_s = :highlight[-0.6071]

Negative, so now looking for negative correlation.

image 0.6071>0.7143-0.6071 > -0.7143

Accept H_0.

Insufficient evidence to suggest association between xx and yy.

Note: when a question refers to a pvaluep-value, this means that hard work has been done already, and a probability pp calculated. This p can be directly compared to the significance level, and conclusions drawn.

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