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How effectively they have achieved their aims. Simplified Revision Notes

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19.5.1 How effectively they have achieved their aims.

George W. Bush (2001-2009)

AchievementsFailures
Tax Cuts: Enacted significant tax cuts in 2001 and 2003, fulfilling a major campaign promise to reduce taxes and stimulate the economy.Iraq War: The Iraq War became increasingly controversial, with rising costs and significant public opposition. The war's justification was widely criticized.
Education Reform: Led the No Child Left Behind Act, a major education reform bill that imposed federal standards on schools across the nation.Hurricane Katrina: The response to Hurricane Katrina was heavily criticized for its slow and ineffective handling, damaging Bush's reputation.
War on Terror: Established the Department of Homeland Security in response to 9/11 and shifted U.S. foreign policy significantly to focus on the War on Terror.Financial Crisis (2008): The handling of the 2008 financial crisis was criticized, with many arguing that the response was too slow and insufficient to prevent the economic downturn.
Homeland Security: Strengthened national security and counterterrorism efforts, including the Patriot Act, which expanded surveillance and security measures.Social Security Reform: Efforts to reform Social Security failed due to a lack of support from Congress.
Guantanamo Bay and Enhanced Interrogation: The use of Guantanamo Bay and enhanced interrogation tactics (torture) sparked significant human rights and legal controversies.

Barack Obama (2009-2017)

AchievementsFailures
Healthcare Reform: Passed the Affordable Care Act (ACA), a landmark health reform that expanded healthcare coverage to millions of Americans.Partisan Gridlock: Struggled with intense partisan opposition, limiting legislative achievements in key areas such as immigration reform, gun control, and environmental policies.
Economic Recovery: Oversaw the recovery of the U.S. economy following the 2008 financial crisis, including the passage of a $787 billion stimulus package.Rise of ISIS: Criticized for the rise of ISIS and instability in the Middle East, partly attributed to the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq.
Ending Iraq War: Fulfilled a campaign promise by ending U.S. military involvement in Iraq.Guantanamo Bay: Despite promises to close Guantanamo Bay, it remained open throughout his presidency.
Executive Orders: Utilized executive orders effectively, including the creation of DACA to protect young undocumented immigrants.ACA Challenges: The ACA faced significant implementation challenges and political resistance, including the 2012 NFIB v. Sebelius ruling that states could not be forced to expand Medicaid.
Bin Laden: Authorized the successful operation to kill Osama bin Laden, a major symbolic and strategic victory in the War on Terror.

Donald Trump (2017-2021)

AchievementsFailures
Tax Reform: Passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2017, which included significant tax reductions for corporations and individuals.Impeachment: Faced impeachment twice during his presidency, although he was acquitted both times. The impeachments damaged his political standing and legacy.
Judicial Appointments: Achieved a conservative reshaping of the judiciary by appointing three Supreme Court justices: Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.ACA Repeal: Struggled to repeal the Affordable Care Act, despite repeated efforts and campaign promises to do so.
Criminal Justice Reform: Passed the First Step Act in 2018, a bipartisan criminal justice reform bill aimed at reducing sentences and improving rehabilitation for federal prisoners.COVID-19 Response: Criticized for the handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, which led to a significant public health crisis and economic downturn.
Immigration Policies: Implemented strict immigration policies and made progress on the construction of the border wall with Mexico.Foreign Policy Challenges: Faced difficulties with North Korea and other international relations, leading to a mixed record on foreign policy.
Division and Rhetoric: His presidency was marked by increased division in America, rising inequality, and violent political rhetoric, including the events leading to the January 6th insurrection.

Joe Biden (2021-Present)

AchievementsFailures
COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution: Accelerated the distribution of COVID-19 vaccines, significantly increasing vaccination rates across the country.Afghanistan Withdrawal: The withdrawal from Afghanistan was widely criticized for its chaotic execution and the rapid fall of Kabul to the Taliban.
American Rescue Plan: Passed the American Rescue Plan, a $1.9 trillion economic stimulus package aimed at addressing the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.Congressional Gridlock: Faced significant challenges in passing key parts of his legislative agenda due to congressional gridlock, particularly in education and social reform.
Climate Change: Rejoined the Paris Climate Agreement and passed the Inflation Reduction Act, which includes significant provisions for addressing climate change.Build Back Better: Failed to pass the Build Back Better Act due to opposition from within his own party, particularly Senator Joe Manchin.
Infrastructure Bill: Successfully passed the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which aims to rebuild and modernize U.S. infrastructure.Criticism from the Left: Criticized by the progressive wing of the Democratic Party and many young voters for his strong support of Israel despite the rising casualties in the Israel-Palestine conflict.
Inflation Reduction Act: Passed legislation aimed at reducing healthcare costs, addressing climate change, and implementing tax reforms, particularly targeting corporations and high earners.

Limitations

Constitution and Supreme Court: The President cannot implement policies or take executive actions that contravene constitutional provisions or established laws. This is true regardless of political affiliations or leanings, and the Supreme Court (SC) holds the power to restrain presidential actions.

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  • Example: Trump aimed to end DACA, a program initiated by Obama. However, the decision to rescind DACA was challenged in court, and in 2020, the SC ruled that the manner in which Trump sought to terminate it was arbitrary, showcasing the SC's power to limit presidential actions.

Separation of Powers: The Founding Fathers designed the separation of powers to prevent the concentration of power in any single branch of government. This often limits presidential effectiveness.

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  • Example: Trump's attempt to secure funding for the border wall was met with resistance. After Congress allocated less funding than requested, Trump declared a national emergency to redirect funds. Both the House and Senate, even with a Republican majority, passed resolutions to terminate the emergency declaration. Trump vetoed these, and Congress could not override the veto. The government shutdown over the wall funding, and Congress's restrictions on closing Guantanamo Bay under Obama, highlight the limitations imposed by separation of powers.

Numbers

Unified vs. Divided Government: A unified government allows the President to better pursue their legislative agenda due to alignment between the executive and legislative branches. In contrast, a divided government often leads to gridlock, where partisan divisions hinder the passage of bills, with tools like the filibuster and committee investigations used to slow or block the President's agenda.

  • Example:
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  • Obama: Achieved significant legislative successes like the ACA during his first two years with a Democrat-controlled Congress. However, the 2010 midterms brought Republican control, leading to legislative gridlock, exemplified by the refusal to hold hearings for Merrick Garland's SC nomination in 2016.
  • Biden: Passed the American Rescue Plan and the Inflation Reduction Act with a narrow Democrat majority and without Republican vetoes. However, the Build Back Better Act was vetoed by Democrat Joe Manchin. Following the Republican control of the House after the midterms, Biden faced challenges in passing other legislative priorities, such as voting rights, gun control, and healthcare. Despite this, the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and the Fiscal Responsibility Act were still passed.

Supreme Court: Presidents make appointments to the SC when vacancies arise, with these appointments often lasting decades. The politicization of the process has made these appointments crucial, as they can shift the ideological balance of the Court.

  • Example:
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  • Obama: His appointments of Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan had limited influence due to the Court's composition. The refusal to confirm Merrick Garland allowed Trump to appoint Neil Gorsuch, significantly shifting the Court's ideological stance.
  • Trump: Successfully appointed three conservative justices—Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett—shifting the Court to a 6-3 conservative majority. This shift led to significant rulings, including the overturning of Roe v. Wade in the Dobbs v. Jackson case.
  • Biden: Appointed Ketanji Brown Jackson, maintaining the Court's liberal-conservative balance, but unable to shift its overall ideological direction.

Popularity

Political Capital and Party Support: High approval ratings can increase a President's political capital, enabling them to wield more influence over Congress and their own party. Popularity also encourages party members to seek the President's endorsement, boosting their own candidacies.

  • Example:
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  • Obama: Gained popularity from his response to Hurricane Sandy, creating a "rally round the flag" effect that increased his influence. However, his inability to maintain this momentum in other areas led to challenges in passing significant legislation later in his presidency.
  • George W. Bush: Initially benefited from a surge in popularity post-9/11, leading to support for his policies. However, as his approval ratings fell due to the Iraq War and economic issues, his influence waned.
  • Biden: Experienced a boost in popularity due to the rapid distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and economic stimulus packages. His approval rating fluctuations, influenced by various factors like inflation and foreign policy issues, impact his legislative agenda and party support.

Public Support: Public support can pressure Congress to act in line with the President's agenda. High approval ratings can lead to more favorable media coverage and less opposition, while low ratings can result in a "lame duck" status, limiting effectiveness.

  • Example:
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  • Trump: His approval ratings remained consistently low for much of his presidency, leading to persistent opposition from both parties and a significant impact on his legislative agenda.
  • Biden: Faced fluctuating approval ratings due to various challenges, including inflation and foreign policy issues. Public perception plays a critical role in shaping his ability to pass legislation and address key issues.
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