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Although the International Court of Justice (ICJ) is designed to resolve disputes between states and prevent conflicts, its effectiveness is limited by several factors:
Trigger: Saddam Hussein (Iraqi leader) invades Kuwait, a sovereign state Authority: UNSCR 678 empowered states to use 'all necessary means' to force Iraq from Kuwait
Participants: UK, US, France and a wide other range of Arab states (much broader coalition than Iraq 2003)
Short term success: Kuwait liberated after the 42-day air campaign
Long term effects: This did not remove the cause of the invasion (Saddam Hussain) and uprisings were triggered from the rebel group against Hussain (these were brutally put down by the Hussain regime leading to a refugee crisis where 2 million were displaced. Many republicans in the US regretted this and said that the 2003 Iraq war was part of 'finishing the job'.
Trigger: The former republic of Yugoslavia's break up meant that the region of Bosnia (a complex mix of Serbs, Muslims and Croats) aimed to become an independent state. The Bosnian Serbs resist breaking away from Serbia and seek to dominate territory in Bosnia -therefore over a million Bosnian Muslims and Croats are driven from their home in 'ethnic cleansing'. Authority: Several UNSCR's passed;
UNSCR 743 created a UN peace-keeping force for the former Yugoslavia region to protect food supply and safe zones with permission to act in self-defence.
UNSCR 819 designated 'safe areas' including Srebrenica which should be free from any army attack against civilians or the peace-keeping force.
Participants: 39,000 troops from the UK, the US and 30 other countries. NATO became involved in air strikes in 1990 after the UN peace-keeping operation requested help following an escalation in hostilities including the Srebrenica genocide.
Short term success: UN peace-keeping operation struggled to make an impact with just ground troops as they did not have sufficient resources to prevent the Srebrenica genocide where UN peacekeepers were vastly outnumbered.
Long term effects: Once NATO 'saved the day' and provided sufficient military power in air strikes, the Bosnian Serbs backed down but this was only after approximately 100,000 deaths including genocide, war crimes and crimes against humanity later prosecuted by the ICTY (international criminal tribunal for former Yugoslavia).
Important moments: Srebrenica genocide (1995) - UN peacekeepers were powerless to prevent the genocide of 8,000 Bosnian Muslims by Bosnian Serbs.
Trigger: Civil war broke out between multiple armed groups and clans with the central government collapsing around 1991. Authority: UNSCR 751 - passed in 1992 created a UN observer mission of 50 personnel to monitor a ceasefire which was unsuccessful as fighting broke out again.
UNSCR 794 - passed unanimously later in 1992 created a full peacekeeping force to 'create a secure environment for the survival of the civilian population.
Participants: President George H W Bush committed US troops in December 1992, as well as other states.
Short term success: UN peacekeepers struggled with complex insurgency from multiple armed groups with a defensive posture not feasible ('no peace to keep').
Long term effects: Somalia remains in a state of civil war with a highly unstable government authority. From 1994, international peace-keepers withdrew entirely and the Al Qaeda-linked group Al Shabaab dominated Somalia.
Important moments: The Battle of Mogadishu (capital of Somalia) in 1933 saw 19 US soldiers killed and 73 wounded and led directly to the withdrawal of the UN mission in 1994.
Trigger: Ethnic conflict between the Hutu majority population who planned to kill the minority Tutsi population. It is estimated that 200,000 Hutu participated in the genocide. Authority: UNSCR 872 passed unanimously and created the UN assistance force for Rwanda which authorised a defensive posture to monitor a ceasefire and help with humanitarian assistance, but not to prevent genocide.
Participants: UN member states but predominantly Canada-led.
Short term success: Early signs of a genocide being planned and requests from UNAMIR on the ground to take pre-emptive action were refused by the UN headquarters. The UNSC also refused a stronger resolution with the US sceptical of becoming involved in the 'new Somalia' and didn't want a repeat of the devastation and failure.
Long term effects: 100 days of genocide which saw between 500,000-600,000 killed.
Important moments: 10 Belgian peace-keepers were killed in one of the first acts of genocide with the immediate announcement of their withdrawal from UN assistance force for Rwanda.
Trigger: Rebel forces in Kosovo started an armed uprising against Serbian forces who responded with ethnic cleansing. The UN arms embargo was not successful in holding back Serbian forces and thousands of Albanians were displaced. Authority: UNSCR 1203 passed in 1998 demanded both sides cease hostilities and respect NATO forces.
Participants: NATO intervened with an air campaign against Serbian forces between March and June 1999 led by the US and UK.
Short term success: Serb forces backed down under pressure from the NATO air bombardment. NATO ground troops backed up the air campaign and were received very positively by the Albanian population (tonibler).
Long term effects: A success, there was sufficient military air power used to push back serb forces and the use of ground troops in cooperation backed this up.
Important moments: The NATO air campaign and Blairs' Hero were welcomed in Kosovo's capital Pristina in July 1999. There was also a Bill Clinton Boulevard with a statue of the president unveiled in 2009.
Trigger: Civil war after numerous military coups, and several rebel groups were competing to take control of the central government resulting in numerous war crimes and violence against civilians and use of child soldiers. Authority: UNSCR created the UN mission in Sierra Leone which authorised the protection of civilians under imminent threat of physical violence to disarm rebel groups.
Participants: UK led operation (also many other nation-states) to push back a rebel group in SL called the Revolutionary United Front (RUF)
Short term success: 800 UK troops prevent rebels from capturing the capital (Freetown) and evacuate British citizens and secure the airport to allow UN peacekeepers to arrive.
Long term effects: Hostages are safely released and stability is established to enable a peace process and the establishment of the UN special tribunal to hold those responsible for war crimes accountable. The UN peacekeeping forces also remained in SL after the conflict to train soldiers.
Important moments: UN peacekeepers were abducted in late 1999 by a rebel group.
Trigger: An independence referendum in 1999 in ET was won by separatists hoping to break away from Indonesia which resulted in a violent backlash of pro-Indonesian militia and a refugee crisis among the East Timorese population. Authority: UNSCR 1264 authorised a peace-keeping force to disarm militia groups.
Participants: UN force led by Australia (as it was the country most likely to be affected by the refugee crisis - realist aims?)
Short term success: mission was successful in maintaining order with a sufficient amount of troops to do so. This enabled troops to deploy humanitarian assistance and for refugees to return home.
Long term effects: 2001 elections were held for the East Timor assembly with independence being achieved in 2003 and ET becoming a sovereign state in its own right.
Important moments: The peace-keeping mission combined military and political objectives with troops creating enough stability for a political process of elections to take place.
Trigger: In response to the uprisings against his leadership as part of the Arab Uprising, Libyan leader Gaddafi caused issues which later generated a civil war in Libya due to his poor leadership. Authority: UNSCR 1973 was created which stated 'all necessary means to protect civilians'.Russia and China abstained and later regretted that NATO had been premised on carrying out regime change.
Participants: NATO led with the UK and France leading a reluctant but ultimately supportive US Obama administration.
Short term success: Air strikes against the Libyan government successfully pushed back Gaddafi forces and prevented the threat of killing civilians in opposition cities.
Long term effects: The removal of Gaddafi (after his killing) resulted in a power vacuum and violent civil war as NATO forces failed to put troops on the ground, and two rival governments were formed.
Obama later said that failing to prepare for the aftermath of the Libyan intervention had been the greatest mistake of his presidency.
Important moments: Gaddafi was captured and killed by a militia group in the streets resulting in the collapse of the central government. UNSCR 2016 ended NATO's military involvement very quickly and was passed unanimously in Oct 2011.
Sanctions are not always effective but if targeted against wealthy individuals (e.g. freezing financial assets) they can be powerful/wealthy enough not to e.g. Russian sanctions have been huge over Ukraine with TNC's getting involved, although it has not yet proved effective.
Expulsion from IGO's unable to be expelled from the UN but can be expelled from the G8 e.g. Russia 2014
Soft Power Can name and shame states by using NGO's and relying on condemnation although this is not a strong
Doctrines (a stated principle of gov policy) encourage good behaviour e.g. The Blair Doctrine and the Clinton If powerful states make it clear that they will intervene, states may change their behaviour. If not, doctrines are flexible.
Yes | No |
---|---|
There has been very little intervention since 2001 (maybe been a shift from over-intervention to under-intervention). The decrease in intervention is not due to any lack of human rights abuses but rather the lack of willingness to intervene. | Scarce but not fully abandoned, it is possible that when humanitarian concerns and state interests are aligned or when major powers do not have national interest reasons to prevent interventions (Libya, East Timor, Mali). |
The increasingly multi-polar world since 2001 and has been an infrequent consensus in the UNSC. The threshold for legitimacy and feasibility is now higher (UNSC resolutions are needed) at a time when it is harder to get UNSCR's approved. | R2P has been developed as doctrine at UN level, however, this is not binding. |
Major powers are more motivated to act militarily for self-interested reasons than humanitarian (Iraq, Afghanistan, Crimea, Syria) | Increased legitimacy and stricter criteria for success may not indicate an abandoned project but rather a desire to make the humanitarian intervention more effective (intervention in Syria might have repeated mistakes of previous intervention) Perhaps wanting smarter interventions rather than abandonment. |
Nation-building is difficult to achieve and states are now reluctant to pursue it. Public opinion has also shifted post-Iraq and Afghanistan in the US and UK (parliament voting against military action in Syria 2013) |
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