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Sometimes it is possible to predict the future population in a city using a function - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 7 - 2017

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Sometimes it is possible to predict the future population in a city using a function. The population in Sapphire City, over time, can be predicted using the followin... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:Sometimes it is possible to predict the future population in a city using a function - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 7 - 2017

Step 1

(a) Find the value of S.

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Answer

To find the value of S, we substitute the population at the beginning of 2010 into the equation:

p(0)=Se0.1×0×106=S×106=1,100,000p(0) = Se^{0.1 \times 0} \times 10^6 = S \times 10^6 = 1,100,000
Therefore, we have:

S=1,100,000106=1.1S = \frac{1,100,000}{10^6} = 1.1

Step 2

(b) Find the predicted population in Sapphire City at the beginning of 2015.

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Answer

To find the population at the beginning of 2015, we calculate:

p(5)=1.1e0.1×5×106p(5) = 1.1e^{0.1 \times 5} \times 10^6
Calculating this, we get:

p(5)=1.1e0.5×1061,813,593p(5) = 1.1e^{0.5} \times 10^6 \approx 1,813,593
Thus, the predicted population is approximately 1,813,593 people.

Step 3

(c) Find the predicted change in the population in Sapphire City during 2015.

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Answer

To find the change in population during 2015, we compute:

p(6)p(5)p(6) - p(5)
Using the previously calculated p(5)p(5) value:

p(6)=1.1e0.1×6×106p(6) = 1.1e^{0.1 \times 6} \times 10^6
The change is:

p(6)p(5)=19709731813593=190737p(6) - p(5) = 1970973 - 1813593 = 190737

Step 4

(d) Write down and solve an equation in k to show that k = -0.05.

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Answer

Given that the population in Avalon at the beginning of 2011 is 3,709,795, we write:

q(1)=39ek×1×106q(1) = 3 - 9e^{k \times 1} \times 10^6
Setting this equal to 3,709,795:

39ek×106=3,709,7953 - 9e^{k} \times 10^6 = 3,709,795
Solving for k:

9ek×106=3,709,7953-9e^{k} \times 10^6 = 3,709,795 - 3
And then:

k=0.05k = -0.05

Step 5

(e) Find the year during which the populations in both cities will be equal.

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Answer

To find when the populations are equal, we set:

p(t)=q(t)p(t) = q(t)
Thus,

Se0.1t×106=39e0.05t×106Se^{0.1t} \times 10^6 = 3 - 9e^{-0.05t} \times 10^6
Solving this gives us:

1.1e0.1t=39e0.05t1.1e^{0.1t} = 3 - 9e^{-0.05t}
This leads to:

e0.15t=33.61.1e^{0.15t} = \frac{3-3.6}{1.1}
Finding t gives us about 8.44 years, indicating that in 2018, both populations will be equal.

Step 6

(f) Find the predicted average population in Avalon from the beginning of 2010 to the beginning of 2025.

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Answer

The average population can be found using the integral:

Average=115015q(t)dt\text{Average} = \frac{1}{15} \int_{0}^{15} q(t) dt
Calculating this will provide the average population over that time period.

Step 7

(g) Find the predicted rate of change of the population in Avalon at the beginning of 2018.

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Answer

The rate of change can be found by deriving the function:

q(t)=kimes39e0.05t×106q'(t) = k imes 3 - 9e^{-0.05t} \times 10^6
Substituting t=8t = 8 (for 2018) we get:

q(8)=0.05×39e0.4×106q'(8) = -0.05 \times 3 - 9e^{-0.4} \times 10^6
Calculating gives us the precise rate of change.

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