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Definition of Probability Simplified Revision Notes

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Definition of Probability

Probability is the measure of how likely an event is to occur. Understanding how to calculate probabilities and the relationships between different events is fundamental in statistics.

Basic Probability Concepts

Probability of an Event (P(E))

The probability of an event EE is calculated as:

P(E)=Number of favourable outcomesTotal number of possible outcomes P(E) = \frac{\text{Number of favourable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of possible outcomes}}
infoNote

Example: The probability of rolling a 33 on a fair 66-sided die:

P(rolling a 3)=16 P(\text{rolling a 3}) = \frac{1}{6}

Complementary Events

The complement of an event EE is the event that EE does not occur.

If P(E)P(E) is the probability of EE , then the probability of the complement EE' is:

P(E)=1P(E)P(E') = 1 - P(E)
infoNote

Example: If P(E)=0.4P(E) = 0.4 ,

then P(E)=10.4=0.6P(E') = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6 .

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